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September 12, 2008
Worried - Not Yet Panicked
The Democrat chances in November appear to be declining at a very rapid pace. Their numbers are falling off a cliff. Democratic jitters about the US presidential race have spread to Capitol Hill, where some members of Congress are worried that Barack Obama's faltering campaign could hurt their chances of re-election.The problem with that attitude is that when people get panicked they often do the wrong thing. Let's take a look at what Bill Whittle has to say about that in his piece Forty Second Boyd. He is discussing an engagement between two fighter pilots Red and Blue are closing at 1000 miles an hour. Fight's on!And that is what is happening to the whole Democrat party. The fight is now so lopsided that they are no longer co-ordinating their efforts. They no longer have the power of unified action. They set themselves up for defeat in detail. I expect big gains for the Republicans in the House and Senate despite the fact that the conventional wisdom in June was that the Democrats would be making gains. And lets not forget that the fight over energy resources hasn't even begun. Their bad situation has come from skirmishes without the weight of unified action which has yet to come. ∅ has lost two or three days fighting over pigs and lipstick. He is off message. How does he get back on track? His only hope is to break contact and then come back with a new message. He has to stop his attacks on Palin and focus his attentions on his opponent, John McCain. Can he do that? I doubt it. It takes the ∅bama campaign days to respond to Republican attacks. Where he needs to be agile he is cumbersome. Because of that, even if he can retool he will be addressing a situation that no longer exists. ∅bama's position on the Russia/Georgia dust up is instructive. McCain came out with a position in hours. ∅bama came out with a position that did not help him electorally. Over a period of three days he modified his position and modified it again until at the end his position was the same as McCain's. Look at that again. Hours vs. days. As Bill Whittle would say: He is out of altitude, out of airspeed, out of ideas. Eject! Eject! Eject! I think ∅bama and the Democrats are going to be ejected by the voters come November 4th. I don't think I have ever witnessed an election campaign where a candidate and a party has come from so far behind to whip the opposition so badly. Only 54 more days to go. This has got to be an eternity for the Democrats. From caviar to ashes. It will no doubt leave a bad taste in their mouths for a long time to come. Cross Posted at Power and Control posted by Simon on 09.12.08 at 06:52 AM
Comments
The Red/Blue fighter pilot analogy would work better if it included Blue's surface support people firing surface-to-air missiles at their own guy. I'm still waiting for the Republican Party to screw this up. guy · September 12, 2008 09:25 AM Simon: Deep breath, my friend. Your optimism warms my heart, but I don't foresee a blowout for either party. This is still a nation divided 50/50 between the statists and the not-so-statists. Ah, but if you are right. How great would that be? notaclue · September 12, 2008 02:50 PM Unfortnetly, the Dems. still have 7 weeks to pull it off. Hope Reps. don't get to believing their poll numbers too much. LYNNDH · September 12, 2008 03:08 PM Yeah, it's nice to be back in the pennant race, but the Democrats are still ahead, and still have the advantage of lying without being challenged, so long as they don't take too much at any one turn. It's good, it's good, but I am not yet optimistic. There will be an attempt at another October Surprise. Assistant Village Idiot · September 12, 2008 03:19 PM All, MP know they have to run up the numbers to get the Congress they want. I don't think overconfidence is going to be an issue. M. Simon · September 12, 2008 04:19 PM I'm 3/4 of the way through "Boyd" -- inspired by all these OODA Loop discussions. Great book -- and definitely on-point for this campaign.
Of course, the Media doesn't seem at all willing to let go of the idea that if they just throw enough dirty lies at Sarah Palin, she'll go away... Clint · September 12, 2008 09:59 PM Post a comment
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Making an issue out of the non-issue of the VP selection was stupidity in action.
The speed of the feckless decision to pour derision on Palin demonstrated that the Democrats are the literal reactionaries this cycle.