Is NY In Play?

The New York Post has some surprising news. Johnny Mac and Sarah Palin have picked up 5 points in New York State.

Boosted by the selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate, Republican John McCain has experienced a surge of support among women in heavily Democratic New York state - where he has closed the gap with Barack Obama, new private polls show.

The internal Republican and Democratic polls, details of which were provided to The Post, have stunned members of both parties - and produced deep worries among Democrats.

One great concern for Democrats is that the data show a continuous movement toward the McCain-Palin ticket by women, a majority of whom traditionally favor Democrats.

The movement by women toward McCain is being credited to Democratic attacks on Alaska Gov. Palin, last week's "lipstick on a pig" crack by Obama and to the continuing unhappiness by female Democrats over Obama's failure to pick Hillary Rodham Clinton as his running mate.

"If it winds up being tight in New York, that means McCain wins the election nationally," said a prominent Democrat familiar with some of the polling data.

I guess ∅bama's team was scoring an own goal with all the attacks on Sarah and ∅'s cuteness with the lipstick joke. Evidently no women want to be called pigs even vicariously. Given the way Black Culture disrespects women (shouldn't that be sluts, skanks, and hos? ed. - yes it should), how was he to know? Besides, it worked against Hillary. And you know what happens in a typical family when the woman makes up her mind? The man gives in eventually just to keep the peace. Lets see, there are about seven more weeks of hectoring to go. Hardly a man can stand up to that. Not to mention getting cut off. Fork it. ∅ is done.

Cross Posted at Power and Control

posted by Simon on 09.15.08 at 11:53 AM



Bec   ·  September 15, 2008 1:14 PM

I want to be excited by the polls, but you can't poll the dead or the fictional, and those who vote multiple times can only be polled once. I don't know about NYC, but the rust belt cities in western NY seem to be run a lot like Chicago and Milwaukee...

Heather   ·  September 15, 2008 2:09 PM

If McCain wins NY, there will be rioting by blacks. Probably with an overt anti-Jewish angle.

Ben-David   ·  September 15, 2008 5:05 PM

And the anti-Jewish riots will be well attended by Reformist Jews.

tim maguire   ·  September 15, 2008 5:41 PM

O! No:

McCain, 7 Weeks Out, Positioned to Hold Ohio's 20 Electoral Votes for GOP: In an election for President of the United States in Ohio today, 09/15/08, Republican John McCain defeats Barack Obama by 4 points, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCMH-TV Columbus, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WDIO-TV Dayton. Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 45%.

dre   ·  September 15, 2008 6:43 PM

good article... however is that true about seven more weeks of hectoring to go? i thought it will be six more weeks..


patrick   ·  September 16, 2008 1:10 AM

As I understand it there are 51 days to go.

Arithmetic made easy for children

M. Simon   ·  September 16, 2008 6:34 AM

I am wondering if the Bradley Effect (people over-reporting to pollsters their support fo black candidates to avoid appearing racist) is still real. For Bradley himself it was 4-6%. I don't know how well-scrutinised that number was then and what has been done to study it since. I would guess that Barack's advisors think it is at least possible, as their strategy was to focus their efforts on caucus states, not voting primaries.

Even a 1% Bradley Effect would be difficult for Obama to overcome. 4-6% would be catastrophic.

Assistant Village Idiot   ·  September 16, 2008 10:19 AM

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