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September 08, 2008
An Interview There Will Be
Talk Left is discussing the pressure on Sarah Palin to do an interview. They basically have covered the bases so I'm just going to let them have their say. Pretty smart for a bunch of lefties. If you want to stop reading this post now let me just give you the short version. Those clamoring for an interview by a major Shrinking Media outlet have been pwned. Here is a person who thinks that all the "she is afraid to be interviewed" stuff in numerous comments on the 'net have worked in Palin's favor. Lowered the bar again. by Chisoxy on Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 05:35:31 PM ESTI know the answer, ask me ask me. A little farther behind. Of course it does help ∅bama, it takes the spotlight off Biden. Now here is a commenter who understands PR. Give kredwyn a cigar. Isn't it a rule of PR... by kredwyn on Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 05:40:49 PM ESTWell yes it is. For Democrats. For Republicans - not so much. The McCain campaign is playing this by tootired on Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 05:47:18 PM ESTSince in politics as in warfare moral forces prevail, getting the opposition in a bad psychological state is the first step to a win. And if you can get them in a bad enough state, an easy win. In StrategyBHL Hart suggests that the best tactic is to hold off your offense until the defense is frothing: It was Lenin who enunciated the axiom that 'the soundest strategy in war is to postpone operations until the moral disintegration of the enemy renders the delivery of the mortal blow both possible and easy.'I think press access to Sarah will be rationed. This gives the campaign the leverage to choose the interviewer and makes the rest of the press start behaving better in the hopes of an interview. Sound tactics. As one of the commenters alluded to above: these guys are no ordinary fiddlers. Now here is a commenter that notices something important. This is why the GOP by Salo on Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 06:07:01 PM ESTSo how about the Dem ticket. Well if you want to score it that would be 2 lawyers to 0 lawyers. Which clearly puts the Democrats behind. Which reminds me of a joke I read in a comment today in reference to Sarah Palin being a pit bull with lipstick. The commenter said "They put the lipstick on the wrong end of the pit bull". OK. Back to serious stuff. The downside? by Donald from Hawaii on Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 05:31:03 PM ESTRuh, Roh. Now here is some really bad news for Democrats Historically, by tootired on Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 06:45:10 PM ESTWell as of today the candidates are tied, even steven, although some polls give McCain/Palin a slight but statistically insignificant margin. Now I have a theory as to why the polls tend to go in the Republican direction as it gets closer to election time. Pollsters cheat. When the election is at hand they want to be as close as possible because it makes them look good. But in the early stages of the election season they want to demoralize the Republicans. The bad thing though is that it gives the Democrats over confidence and they can't figure out why they lose elections. You know, it is the old "but we were way ahead in the polls" refrain. Baring some catastrophe it looks to me like the Democrats have lost the election. I expect the ∅bama campaign to get more frantic as time goes on. Cross Posted at Power and Control posted by Simon on 09.08.08 at 06:07 AM
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Ace brought out the flaming skull for the latest polls. Phelps · September 8, 2008 12:32 PM Post a comment
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I'm sure pollsters cheat some, but I still think the traditional GOP rise in the last two months of the campaign correspond to the time when the average likely voter starts to pay attention to the candidates themselves -- forming their impressions from the actual speeches and debates rather than second-hand based on what Tom Brokaw and Dan Rather and company tell them about the candidates.
I worry a bit that this year, because of the huge audience for the GOP speeches, we've already gotten much of that bounce.
This election is going to be very close -- and Obama's "ground game" is going to be very, very good.