Problems in Asia

It has come to my attention that there are problems with the the temperature record in Asia.

At virtually the same time NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies was correcting historical climate data with the assistance of Climate Audit's Steve McIntyre, a British mathematician discovered serious flaws in papers used and cited by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its most recent Assessment Report.

Douglas J. Keenan, a former Morgan Stanley arbitrageur and current independent mathematical researcher, identified "fabrications" in such studies that suggest a "marked lack of integrity in some important work on global warming that is relied upon by the IPCC" and that "the insignificance of urbanization effects on temperature measurements has not been established as reliably as the IPCC assessment report assumes."

The errors are so glaring that one might conclude fraud was involved. Such a conclusion would be premature.

There are links to the studies involved and other links at the above url.

H/T Reliapundit

Update: 11 Aug 007 1711z

Questions about the Russian data.

Cross Posted at Power and Control

posted by Simon on 08.11.07 at 10:45 AM










Comments

One of the major errors seen in the data-set has been pinned down: 01/01/2000.

A Y2K processing error that has caused major upwards discontinuity in the processing of the US datasets. If the Asian ones have similar artifacts, expect them to have similar problems (due to software involved).

As one individual has pointed out: the 'hockey stick' went flat.

Lots of head shaking all around... If other NASA/Goddard datasets on climate have similar problems from the software used, then the egg on the faces of NASA will be immense. The torrent of eggs heading towards the faces of the GW backers along with the laughter will be larger.

'An inconvenient truth' - Y2K done it! NASA has updated the US dataset and their webpage hosting same from what I have read.

Much thanks to the folks at climateaudit.org for doing the hard, on the ground work of finding climate stations with HVAC equipment built next to them and the Detroit lakes station that was the huge tip-off on all this. Needless to say those that push 'an inconvenient truth' are now bringing down climateaudit with a DOS attack.

For the US the new hottest year on record is... 1934. Five of the top 10 warmest occur before WWII.

Amazing things happen when you find your software has gone bonkers due to programming error.... reverse-engineering the work from the outside is nothing short of amazing, and my thanks to climateaudit and all involved on scrubbing the data and hard. Now, can we get back to *science* and away from hyperventilating?

ajacksonian   ·  August 11, 2007 1:01 PM

Looks like AlGore's movie was aptly named after all. Just not for the reasons he thought.

joated   ·  August 11, 2007 8:05 PM

Politically active scientists cannot be trusted. Period.


Brett   ·  August 12, 2007 8:41 AM

Here's a direct link to the story on Keenan's site:

http://www.informath.org/apprise/a5620.htm

The fraud is very clear.

Al B   ·  August 15, 2007 1:05 AM

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