How to make the Tea Party support big government conservatism

Just before the election, Reason's senior analyst Shikha Dalmia pointed out some very unpleasant facts:

...instead of pulling Democrats in the direction of reform, the Tea Party candidates themselves are moving in the direction of the status quo. This wouldn't happen if these candidates could count on a strong and large constituency for reform within their own movement. Elections are a discovery process through which candidates find out what their base really wants. And what many of the Tea Party candidates have found is that when push comes to shove, their backers want to protect their entitlements as much as the next guy. In fact, much of the fury of the Tea Partiers against government stimulus and bailouts might have less to do with any principled belief in the limits of government and more to do with fear of what this will do to their own entitlements.

If that's the case, then it is safe to assume that the cause of serious entitlement reform is DOA in the next Congress--regardless of whether Tea Party candidates win or lose on Tuesday.

But what about the core Tea Party principles? How will they get around them? How will they avoid having their offices besieged by angry Tea Party activists?

I'm thinking that this worry might explain the attempt by establishment politicians (who are not themselves far-right social conservatives) to nonetheless push far-right, sometimes downright wacko social conservatives into a heavily-funded group which uses the Tea Party name. There's also been a strong alliance between the Tea Party and the so-called 912 project, although as of yet I have not seen a push towards expanding the Tea Party principles to include those of 912.

I freely admit that this is speculation on my part. And I admit that it is not only paranoid, but it qualifies as a conspiracy theory -- one I floated earlier in a moment of despair rather than hold my tongue. One commenter was appalled, and I don't blame him:

Your marginalization theory is very cynical, if not down-right paranoid. Is that how the establishment really handles these kinds of groups? That's just horrid.
Yes, it would be horrid, and I do so hope that my dark speculation was wrong.

I have long advocated an alliance between libertarians and social conservatives, but my worry is what could happen if the latter managed to blur the Tea Party principles by broadening them to include their favorite issues and causes. This would be of immense benefit to the Kristol/Barnes/Bush/Rove/Gingrich school of big government conservatism, and here's why.

Once they are in office, the Republicans who were elected will be forced to accept an ugly political reality. Cutting so-called "entitlements" is not merely a political third rail. It is impossible. What this means almost comes down to simple math. If these are the Tea Party Principles:

Fiscal Responsibility, Constitutionally Limited Government, and Free Markets.

Then the Republicans simply cannot deliver the bacon.

However, if the Tea Party Principles are somehow broadened to include, say...

America is good,

belief in God and [that] He is the center of my life,

the family is sacred,

then the Tea Party-supported politicians can seemingly "deliver" by cranking out meaningless resolutions, statements of support, and other pablum -- none of which will cause them to have to step on the political third rail of entitlements.

To continue with my paranoid conspiracy thinking, ultimately, this means that social conservatism is not only a survival tactic for the big government Republican establishment, but it's a a perfect foot in the door for continued big government. The unsustainable entitlement spending continues, the socons get a bone, guys like Gingrich (whose nomination is another of my paranoid conspiracy theories) will be sitting pretty and of course the libertarians get nothing.

I'm not saying this will happen, but I have been around long enough to witness the rise of big government conservatism, and saw a very similar strategy work before. And frankly, to read that one of the principal architects of big government conservatism now says he loves the Tea Party movement just gives me the heebie jeebies.

But enough with my paranoid misgivings.

Perhaps the time has come to rehabilitate Bush, comrades!

And perhaps we should take a broader view of big government, and declare that not all big government is big. Some big government is actually small.

posted by Eric on 11.09.10 at 11:13 AM





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might have less to do with any principled belief in the limits of government and more to do with fear of what this will do to their own entitlements.

That's so much bullshit.
Just another elitist, willfully ignorant fool who hates that the proles are not listening to their intellectual and political betters.

"Might", huh?
Yeah, and that tool might be intelligent.

As I've seen no indication of either "might", I'm gonna have to go with "Not" in both instances.

Veeshir   ·  November 9, 2010 02:47 PM

I have trouble taking Dalmia seriously. His article based a large part of his thesis on a TPM post "Keep The Guvmint Out Of My Medicare." If you follow the links you'll find out one person at a local town hall meeting carried a sign with that message. It's not even certain that person was a Tea Party member.

Then Dalmia cites a Bloomberg poll which displays some truly odd results, including the conclusion that "More than six in 10 say it [the Tea Party] advocates government based on Christian principles." First there is no single Tea Party, and I seriously doubt 60% of all Tea Party members agree with that statement.

Another good one: "Tea Party supporters are more likely than other voters to be white, married, 55 and older, and call themselves born-again Christians." Again, this conflicts with overall patterns shown across the county via multiple news stories & blog posts. Given that the president of the polling company finds Tea Party followers indistinguishable from Republicans, I'm not surprised their survey conforms to myths about the movement. Note that the Bloomberg article doesn't link to the raw data, so we can't check the cross-tabs. I would love to that data, and examine their methodology.

Oddly enough, the only Medicare issues the poll-takers actually quote show that 53% would consider raising the age for Medicare benefits, and 58% would consider the same for Social Security benefits, in contradiction to Dalmia's claim.

Color me skeptical.

Casey   ·  November 9, 2010 04:14 PM

Casey,

Once people are dependent you have to do your cutting carefully and slowly.

And Eric,

I share the same fears. Sometimes people really are out to get you.

M. Simon   ·  November 9, 2010 06:17 PM

We'll just have to hold their feet to the fire. And at this point, while not wanting anyone to enforce a belief that America is good (Or any other belief) I'd like a resolution that America is innocent until proven guilty -- or at least as innocent as any other country and more innocent than most. I'm so tired of specious textbooks foisted on my kids...

Sarah   ·  November 9, 2010 08:01 PM

"Once people are dependent you have to do your cutting carefully and slowly."

Agreed. Absolutely. And I did ignore Eric's other point, that social cons might try to preempt or take over the Tea Party movement. This is a legitimate concern. Certainly the Country Club Republicans would love to either trivialize or eliminate the Tea Partys.

Eric's last line reminds me of an important point; there's been a lot of ink spilled over "big" government. That label depends on context. I would imagine most political conservatives, libertarians, and independents prefer a strong, local government; something at the town or city level.

It's the Federal government which usually causes the problems the last century, so perhaps we should stop talking about "big" government, and start talking about o'erweening Federal government instead.

...And tell any would-be movement hijackers to bugger off...

Casey   ·  November 9, 2010 10:44 PM

" carefully and slowly."

Whiggishly.

I am a bit more sympathetic to the the notion of family values than I understand you to be. Families are useful for aggregating more productive properties. A farm. A business. Even - shudder -- a political dynasty: Kennedy, Bush, Clinton and now Gawd help us Megan McCain. Starting from the premise that families have a functional value, what consequential structures do you consider useful towrd exploiting that value?

pouncer   ·  November 10, 2010 06:45 AM

Casey- Shikha Dalmia is a woman- it is an Indian name. Her ancestors probably came from either of the north-western Indian states of Rajasthan or Gujarat.

Daniel Fielding Smith   ·  November 10, 2010 08:31 AM

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