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February 04, 2010
Distracted by "Wantingtobelieveism"
I've been so preoccupied with personal business yesterday and today that I have had no time to blog about whatever is happening in the real world. I haven't even had time to look. Between a household repair emergency and trying to help out a friend who has become a villain in a compelling but false narrative, I am only now venturing into the real world of regular onlineliness. I have still not checked my email, the news, nothing. But still, the narrative thing pisses me off. I won't get into detail about what it is, but there is a disease which affects the human mind which I should call want-to-believe-itis. Hmmm.... Maybe it's more properly an ism. Wantingtobelieveism. We all fall for it, Republicans, Democrats, liberals, conservative, and of course libertarians including yours truly. For some reason, when we hear something that resonates with whatever narrative we've got going, we just want to believe it. If, for example, I started a convincing rumor (from, say a "staffer who refuses to be named") that a well-known conservative senator used the n-word in reference to President Obama, lots of lefties would love it, and could be depended upon to repeat it. And once "established" by numerous quotes and links going to each other, it would be believed by more and more people who wanted to believe it. Same thing if there was a rumor that a senior presidential advisor who used to be a ballet dancer had been caught in flagrante delicto with a page boy and that Obama forces are covering it up while paying money and making threats to the boy's family. Wantingtobelieveism works that way. It is now looking like AGW has been fueled by phony or sexed up statistics, which in turned fueled another Wantingtobelieveist cult. The process disgusts me, and I wish there was a way to drive a stake through its heart. But that's impossible, because the heart lies in the human brain. posted by Eric on 02.04.10 at 01:56 PM
Comments
It's known as confirmation bias. You are more likely to believe whatever supports your current belief, and it takes a brave, thoughtful, and insightful person to disregard their previous beliefs in the light of new facts. Not impossible, but difficult. JFS · February 4, 2010 05:31 PM It's known as confirmation bias. You are more likely to believe whatever supports your current belief, and it takes a brave, thoughtful, and insightful person to disregard their previous beliefs in the light of new facts. Not impossible, but difficult. JFS · February 4, 2010 05:32 PM Lots of names for it; Confirmation bias, attitude bias, group think etc.. Of course if the belief is AGW it is "Arisian mind fusion". Kimball · February 4, 2010 08:10 PM Eh, even if you put a stake in the heart of global worming the same people would be off on the next thing, seemingly with no memory of being conned by global warmmongers. I predict in 2011 they'll be telling us about the coming ice age. Veeshir · February 4, 2010 10:47 PM Post a comment
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For science one looks at predictions. If the predictions don't pan out the hypothesis is false. For general political truths, one can look to tradition as tradition actually managed to last for some period of time. This is, of course, if one is interested in truth. Me, I just want to believe!