I guess the Catastrophic Global Warming scare is officially over. At least according to one IPCC scientist.

The research has been carried out by eminent climate scientists, including Professor Mojib Latif. He is a leading member of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

He and his colleagues predicted the cooling trend in a 2008 paper, and warned of it again at an IPCC conference in Geneva in September.

Working at the prestigious Leibniz Institute in Kiel University in Germany, he has developed methods for measuring ocean temperatures 3,000ft under the surface, where the cooling and warming cycles start.

For Europe, the crucial factor is the temperature in the middle of the North Atlantic Ocean. He said such ocean cycles - known as multi-decadal oscillations or MDOs - could account for up to half of the rise in global warming in recent years.

Professor Latif said: 'A significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th century was due to these cycles - as much as 50 per cent.

'They have now gone into reverse, so winters like this one will become much more likely. All this may well last two decades or longer.

'The extreme retreats that we have seen in glaciers and sea ice will come to a halt. For the time being, global warming has paused, and there may well be some cooling.'

And if half the heating was due to ocean cycles then the estimated effects of CO2 (and that is all they ever were - estimates) are much smaller than estimated. And if the Svensmark cloud experiments at CERN give us better numbers on cloud/cosmic ray interactions the contribution of CO2 to the planet's energy balance may be smaller yet.

May I suggest you get your copy of Climate Cover-Up: The Crusade to Deny Global Warming as soon as possible. It will become a collectors item

And books like Climate Confusion: How Global Warming Hysteria Leads to Bad Science, Pandering Politicians and Misguided Policies That Hurt the Poor are likely to become texts books on how venal politicians (you know any who aren't?) and the madness of crowds (and a credulous main stream media) drove the whole movement.

My question for now: is Al Gore going to give back his Nobel Prize? Will his Academy Award be moved out of the documentary category and be reclassified as entertainment? Don't hold your CO2.

H/T Watts Up With That who has much more.

Cross Posted at Power and Control