Predictable, but not dull

Repeating myself is no fun. Nor is saying "I TOLD YOU SO."

But in today's news, I see that President Obama is selling out the left, and making a right turn:

Obama sells out the left: a Republican win on taxes
By Jennifer Rubin

There really is no other way to say it: the Republicans won, the liberal Democrats lost, and the president sided with the Republicans. The subject, of course, is an agreement to extend all the Bust tax cuts. The president tonight announced a "bipartisan framework" for agreement on, among other things, to extend the Bush tax cuts for two years. A Republican House aide tells me tonight it is "a damn good deal." And so it is, from the perspective of conservatives.

Nothing could fail to surprise me more.

Things are right on schedule.

Here's what I said in February, (and I was repeating myself even then):

As I argued earlier, if Obama moves to the center now, not only would he look weak, but there's a serious risk that he might just save enough congressional seats to keep it in Democratic hands. And if that happens, the American voters (who remain center-right) would be much more inclined to vote him out in 2012.

But if OTOH, the Republicans re-take Congress in the fall, that dramatically increases Obama's chances of reelection (as the guy who would help keep in place that reassuring gridlock that American voters historically favor). Say what you want about Obama, but I think he's smart enough to realize this.

If my theory is correct, then once the Democrats lose Congress, then and only then would the Obama triangulation strategy begin in earnest. I think that any comparisons with Clinton triangulation are thus premature, and I think it should be remembered that Clinton's triangulation began after the disastrous Democratic losses in 1994 (which was the birth of the "Contract With America").

There's plenty of time for triangulation. Meanwhile, it is in Obama's best interest to have his party lose.

And now that they have lost, it is in his best interest to have his most beatable opponent on the GOP ticket in 2012.

If only this weren't so predictable.

It's not dull, though. Train wrecks never are, even if you see them coming.

(No, that is not a prediction that the Republicans would ever unwittingly help ensure that Obama gets a second term. After all, the presidency is theirs for the taking, isn't it? Why would they snatch defeat from the jaws of victory?)

posted by Eric on 12.07.10 at 11:03 AM





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Comments

Well it could also be said that BO won. He can now run on being a tax cutting President.

LYNNDH   ·  December 7, 2010 02:44 PM

Why would they snatch defeat from the jaws of victory?

Because Mike Huckabee is right on abortion?

M. Simon   ·  December 7, 2010 06:47 PM

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