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October 01, 2009
The Hockey Stick Is Broken Permanently
This is a tale of forensics and what appears to be scientific fraud. And wouldn't you know it: climate hysteria. Let me start with the famous hockey stick. It is a graph showing unprecedented global warming at the end of the 20th century. It was the icon of global warming hysteria. The wiki has the graph and a picture of Michael Mann (the discoverer). You will note that Mr. Mann is holding a section of a tree. Why? Well the hockey stick was developed by analyzing tree rings which are supposed to be a proxy for temperature. This may or may not be true but I'm not going to deal with that question. You can look into that at The Problem With Tree Ring Thermometers. Steve McIntyre showed that by using the Mann methodology and feeding noise into the computer program that analyzed the tree ring data you get the hockey stick. So the tree rings are irrelevant to the hockey stick. But that is not too important to the current controversy. What is important is that it has now been shown (since Steve was finally - after years of asking - able to get the data) that Michael Mann cherry picked the data. And in fact with the full data set the hockey stick goes down (Steve prefers to say the results are flat) and not up. Which is rather a surprise given the bias of the analysis. It started with this post (which references Climate audit): Here is a mirror posting of the Climate Audit post (it is kinda technical): How Michael Mann Was Found Out A more detailed look at the revised graph. UK Climate scientists have some 'splainin to do. In layman's terms what does it mean? The hockey stick is dead and its development in the first place may have been a scientific fraud for at least two reasons. Bad analysis and data cherry picking.
Red Hot Lies: How Global Warming Alarmists Use Threats, Fraud, and Deception to Keep You Misinformed Climate of Extremes: Global Warming Science They Don't Want You to Know Happy reading! Cross Posted at Power and Control posted by Simon on 10.01.09 at 12:52 PM
Comments
The Mannn Hockey stick is a Tree Ring Circus? Eric Scheie · October 1, 2009 04:21 PM the hockey stick reminds me of this advice: newrouter · October 1, 2009 07:08 PM Post a comment
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I have been pondering the political ramifications of this for some time.
Consider: There is talk that this winter (I am in the mid-Atlantic) could be a very cold one... summer certainly was.
So you take this (assuming it happens), and add it to this growing list compiled by the ever-more significant 'Gateway Pundit' of weather anamolies on the colder side....
http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2009/08/brrrr-global-temperatures-continue-to.html
... and you begin to see why 'Global Warming" has morphed into 'Climate Change'.
And what I wonder is... what happens when all those 6, 7 and 8 year-olds marinated in Global Warming by their ever-wise elders become 18, 19, and 20 year-olds looking around and saying "WTF"????
And what happens when they then start to ask the obvious -- "What else have they been shilling to us??"
Could be a ripe field for the right plow.