A Certain Lack Of Solidarity

A protest against Israeli operations in Gaza was called off because not enough Palestinians showed up.

RAMALLAH - It's quiet in Ramallah. At the northern entrance to the city, not far from the mall, a new fountain spouts water. Next to it lies a sign in English: "Gaza under fire." But it seems the Gaza Strip has never been so far away. Tel Aviv, meanwhile, feels closer than ever. Almost every day at 1 P.M., a demonstration leaves Manara Square in the city center, expressing support for the residents of the Gaza Strip. The number of participants has declined, however, on a daily basis, and on Wednesday the demonstration was called off for a lack of protesters.

Dozens of men sit in cafes near the square playing cards. In the background, the television blasts the voices of Al-Jazeera reporters, who provide continual updates about the events taking place in the Strip. But even the dramatic reports do not stop the card players for a moment. Occasionally one of them glances up at the screen, but then gets back to business.

What explains this lack of solidarity? Walid Omari, the Al-Jazeera bureau chief for the Palestinian Authority and Israel, thinks he knows.
Omari explains that the quiet all over the West Bank in the face of the events in Gaza stems mainly from disappointment and frustration with the leadership of Hamas and Fatah.

"The residents of the West Bank lost a great deal in the course of the last Intifada, but saw no achievements. They are very afraid of more losses, mainly in light of the crisis of confidence between the Palestinian street and its leadership.

In other words " I'm not having any of what they are having." A wise move. Perhaps Israel has sufficiently demoralized the Palestinians to the point that they are becoming willing to deal.

And speaking of deal how is the truce deal that Egypt is negotiating coming along?

After 19 days of fighting and more than 1,000 Palestinian fatalities, the first significant signs that Hamas is breaking could be seen Wednesday night. Hamas representatives to talks with Egypt announced an agreement in principle on Wednesday to the Egyptian cease-fire proposal. They also demanded several clarifications, primarily from Israel.

The war in Gaza isn't over yet. The final days of the Second Lebanon War show that it's best to be wary of agreements that come too early. But the way things looked on Wednesday, Hamas seems to be willing to accept the Egyptian initiative, which is almost a kind of surrender agreement for it.

The Egyptian proposal is mostly bad for Hamas. It doesn't let the organization bring the Palestinian public any political achievement that would justify the blood that has been spilled, and even forces on it the return of the Palestinian Authority to Gaza, in the form of its renewed presence at the Rafah crossing (as a condition for its reopening).

Once the cease-fire is reached, the IDF will withdraw from the positions it captured in Gaza, and only then will the two sides begin to discuss the opening of border crossings and removal of the blockade, which was the reason Hamas gave for waging war. The most that Cairo is offering is a timetable for the opening of the crossing points, and even that depends on negotiations due to begin after the cease-fire is reached, and it's tough to know how or when they will end.

So Walid seems to have it right. A lot of blood and destruction for no gain.

And as I have said before Israel has some surprising allies in this war.

Arab League officials announced Wednesday night that they still did not have the necessary legal quorum to convene an emergency Arab League summit in Doha on Friday to discuss Israel's offensive in Gaza.
So the Arabs don't seem to have a sense of urgency about the discussions. Advantage Israel.

So what are the Saudis and Egyptians up to?

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia on Wednesday called for its own emergency meeting of Gulf Countries in Riyadh to discuss the IDF operation in Gaza on Thursday.

King Abdullah called for the meeting Thursday in the Saudi capital of Riyadh "due to the escalation of the latest events resulting from the Israeli aggression on the Palestinian people and the current circumstances in the Arab world," said a Foreign Ministry statement.

Arab states such as Qatar and Syria have been pushing for an emergency Arab summit to help put an end to Operation Cast Lead, which has resulted in the death of more than 900 Palestinians, most of them believed to be Hamas members.

However, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, two Western-backed political heavyweights in the region, along with Tunisia, have rejected holding a summit in Doha, suggesting instead that Arab leaders hold talks in Kuwait on Sunday on the sidelines of a planned Arab economic summit.

So not only are the Saudis and others dragging their feet, but the meeting on Gaza will be a side show to more pressing business - an economic summit. What we are seeing is a realignment of Middle East interests.

One other place the alignment is changing is Turkey, and in this case it is moving away from Israel.

A decade ago, Western and Israeli leaders could count on Turkey as an ally. A solid NATO member, Ankara took decisions based on pragmatic calculations of interest - and erred on the side of caution if at all. But under the rule of the Islamic conservative AKP, this has changed.

In the face of Hamas rockets, Israel could have expected more understanding from a country long suffering from aggressive PKK terrorism. The vehemence with which Turkish leaders attacked Israel, and their apparent willingness to convey Hamas' position to the United Nations, came as a surprise to many.

Some of this may be explained by pandering to the Islamic conservative AKP's hard-core base. But Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan's words - that Israel's actions will be punished by God and help lead it to self-destruction - are too significant to be taken lightly. Indeed, they are part of the trend of a Turkish government guided more by Islamic solidarity and anti-Western sentiment than by pragmatic calculations of interest. Indeed, Turkey's international behavior suggests that its attachment to the West is tenuous at best - and eroding.

Turkey has land borders on its Middle East Side with Syria, Iraq, Iran, Armenia, and Georgia. And on the Black sea it borders a number of countries including Russia with whom it seems to have formed an understanding if not an alignment.
Ankara's position on Iran has been similarly equivocal. When in Washington recently, Erdogan observed that "those who ask Iran not to produce nuclear weapons should give up their own nuclear weapons first" - a position that fits neither with Turkey's membership in the Non-Proliferation Treaty or NATO.

More broadly, Erdogan has in recent years shown a remarkable willingness to meet with rogue regimes. Ankara's improving relationships with Syria and Iran are understandable, given that they are neighbors with which Turkey needs to work. But its decision to welcome Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir with full honors in January 2008, or to invite Hamas leader Khaled Mashaal to the AKP party headquarters in 2006, cannot be explained away simply by pragmatic decisions born out of necessity. Indeed, these decisions need to be seen in the context of the AKP's gradual change, with Islamic self-identification gaining ground in both domestic and foreign policy. Since reelection in 2007, the AKP has focused more on the advancement of Islamic values in Turkey's society and state than on democratic reform. In foreign policy, Islamic solidarity and anti-Western sentiment have gained ground - which in turn influence the views of society at large, making Turkey as a nation less Western.

So what does the future hold for the Middle East? The only certainty is that the countries of the region will find new and exciting ways to damage their own interests. The only exception to this rule seems to be Israel. At least for as long as George Bush has been in office. Bush's policy has been to isolate Syria and Iran.

Obama is interested in making overtures to Syria and Iran.

U.S. president-elect Barack Obama on Wednesday said that he is going to work toward a comprehensive peace in the Middle East "on day one" of presidency on January 20, and that would include Iran and Syria.

"We're going to have to take a regional approach," said Obama in an interview with CBS Evening News. "We're going to have to involve Syria in discussions. We're going to have to engage Iran in ways that we have not before."

"We've got to have a clear bottom line that Israel's security is paramount," Obama said.

In other words he intends to sell out the Israelis. He won't be the first US President to pull that trick. What I would like to know is what kind of campaign donations Obama got from the Syria/Iran axis? I'd guess that some one knows the answer and is holding the information until it can do Obama the most damage.

We shall see. But I can say one thing. I don't think Obama has ever played politics at this level. If Blagojevich can roll him he doesn't stand a chance in the Middle East. They have had thousands of years practice in perfecting the art of the double cross.

Cross Posted at Power and Control

Welcome Instapundit readers. For something a little different how about: Good Journalism which discusses the coming collapse of Mexico. Or a free copy of the Readers Digest version of The Road To Serfdom or why the Nazis are left wing.

posted by Simon on 01.15.09 at 09:25 AM





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Comments

After all, Nancy Pelosi and before her David Duke made the pilgrimage to Damascus.

When dealing with regimes like Syria and Iran, it helps to ask: who do you think these people are?

In a phrase, fascist thugs. How would you deal with a fascist thug in the US?

Gringo   ·  January 15, 2009 11:08 AM

Maybe Obama can dispatch magical rainbow unicorns to make it all better.

Cappy   ·  January 15, 2009 10:21 PM

Despite his upbringing in Chicago politics, Obama has always struck me as being naive.

Donna B.   ·  January 16, 2009 01:00 AM

It appears it is getting time for a military coup in Turkey...
Sure, we can make a few statements about democracy being subverted but still back the secularist armed forces.
Turkey being Iran's lap dog? Not good.
But wait, The One will be there soon with hope and change - that will surely work. Then he will get Hamas to sign a piece of paper and The One will get us peace in our time.
That always works, doesn't it? Get Evil to sign a document and they will cease being evil, right? Right?

GW Crawford   ·  January 16, 2009 01:21 PM

>>Get Evil to sign a document and they will cease being evil, right? Right?

Of course. I mean, we stopped Hitler in his tracks in 1938 with that Munich Agreement. Thank goodness! That was a close one.

Jim   ·  January 16, 2009 01:38 PM

Gringo: We'd elect his buddy to the Presidency.

David Ross   ·  January 16, 2009 01:50 PM

> I don't think Obama has ever played
> politics at this level.

You said it. Between Putin and the Arabs, Obama is well on his way to becoming a squeaky chew toy for the wolves to shake and tear apart at their pleasure.

adam d.   ·  January 16, 2009 02:03 PM

The proposed conference site is amusing for another reason. The Kuwaitis have little love for the Palestinians, because Palestinians in Kuwait during the 1990-91 Gulf War proved active collaborators with Saddam Hussain and his band of uruk-hai when Iraq invaded Kuwait. Kind of like hosting a conference to discuss mistreatment of Confederates in Lawrence, Kansas in 1875.

Mark L   ·  January 16, 2009 02:06 PM

One minor quibble to an excellent article: Turkey does not currently border Russia though does it borders the historic imperial sphere of Russia (Armenia and Georgia).

On a side note too is that Turkey is constrained to an extent by history as neither the Arab nor Iranian world has forgotten the Turkish imperial history.

Chad   ·  January 16, 2009 03:08 PM

Chad,

I suppose I could have been clearer about the Black Sea connection. Or have included a map link.

M. Simon   ·  January 16, 2009 03:51 PM

Why doesn't Israel issue terms of surrender to individual Hamas rank and file and see how many of them bite?

The sight of hundreds or thousands of Hamas fighter giving up would destroy the organization permanently.

Then whenever someone asks an Israeli official about a "cease fire" or the "peace process", they can say that they are too busy managing the "surrender process."

That would certainly be a change!

jms   ·  January 17, 2009 09:21 AM

My Jewish friend Josef opposing the ZioNazi-war against the Palestinian and war-crimes in Gaza said: “We are back in 1940”. My explanation to Josef was:

Yes Josef you are fully right. We really are back in 1940. I lost 40 members of my family in Holland in that year and later more because we were hiding Jews for the SS and Gestapo in our houses to save them for the Nazi-concentration camps/gas chambers and they fought in the resistance against the occupation by those Nazi-rats as the Hamas-fighters do now against the ZioNazi occupation. A lot of those SS/Gestapo-rats were AskeNAZI Zionist or better ZioNazi. Now again it are NAZI and ZIONAZI of the next generations.

In those years up to now the Catholic and Lutheran Church collaborated with Hitler/Nazi-Germany and helped them to collect Jews for the gas chambers in Germany and nearly all occupied countries. The worst they did was helping around 30,000 SS/Gestapo-agents to escape to America before the end of the war and just after the war. Then the traitor Alan Dulles flooded his CIA with around 5,000 SS/Gestapo-agents of the Gestapo under command of General Ghelen.

In and after 1945 they all took over the CIA and US-government piece by piece and Ghelen returned in 1946 as head of the secret service in Germany and continued with their Nazi/Gestapo-agents there. No wonder Catholic/Lutheran Germany is extremely ZioNazi- and Israel-friendly and again (as in Lebanon) cannot wait to help ZioNazi Israel to destroy Hamas with blocking the boundaries of the concentration-camp Gaza.
At least Germany has experience with concentration camps and mass murder of helpless people in such camps. Of course the former STASI agent, Bush-poodle and breed of Hitler Kanzler Merkel helps ZioNazi Israel and blames the freedom fighters of Hamas for their fight against the ZioNazi occupation.

The international community should not allow those ZioNazi in Germany to continue with their War Crimes in Gaza, Lebanon as well in Iraq and Afghanistan and should be tried together with all War Criminals in the US. All War Criminals of the BushCo camp should be tried for their continuing war crimes in other countries being a long list since 1945 (for example just some of them are Vietnam, Cambodja, Laos, Ost Timor, Chili, Yougoslavia). Beside that there is a long list of crimes against humanity by the same Nazi and ZioNazi crooks/criminals.

Those Nazi/ZioNazi criminals and murder stole after 1945 also Palestine from the Palestinian and grounded Israel as a ZioNazi Terror-State. What you see since 1945 in Palestine is the result of the continuing activities of the same new generation NAZI and ZIONAZI RATS, MASS MURDER and WAR CRIMINALS which are also cheating real honest Jews. No wonder real honest Jews resist those ZioNazi and they must continue and remove that ZioNazi in Israel because they are Nazi-breed from Nazi-Germany covering behind Jewish people and Jewish history and believe. No wonder that the over 2000-year longtime peace and living together between 2 brother’s as Jews and Palestinian were intentionally disturbed by torture, terror, murder and robbery and other crimes by those ZioNazi to create hate and war for ever. This is the real style of the evil ZioNazi Rothschild- and Rockefellers-families which practice such already for centuries and did now the same in Palestine as everywhere just for extreme profits meanwhile hiding behind their puppets.

Any doubts about all this. Study history carefully and the real deeds of the mega-WAR CRIMINAL and NAZI CRIME FAMILIES BUSH, KISINGER, SCHULTZ and a lot of other ZioNazi in the secret US-Government being the secret services like CIA, FBI,NSA,ION and so on. They control and owns
all those secret organizations and the lot of bribed ZioNazi in the TREASON-scam in the official government in the Black House and in congress and senate.
They all are working for the long time ZioNazi families as the Rothschild’s , Rockefeller, Walker, Harriman, Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and so on and so on. Nearly all members of AIPAC belong to those ZioNazi-organizations.

Conclusion : The REAL AXIS OF EVIL and STATE-TERROR is the US- , UK (the traitor and war criminal Blair) and Israel.
And as always there are other traitors as Abbas, Mubarak to all peaceful people around the world being Jews, Palestinian, Black or white.

Mike Honest   ·  January 17, 2009 01:06 PM

Dishonest Mike,

Nice bit of propaganda you got there.

Did you know that it is a war crime to intentionally attack civilians with suicide bombers and rockets? You probably missed that.

Did you know that it is a war crime for fighters to intermingle with civilians populations and use them as human shields? You probably missed that.

Egypt warned Hamas that they should stop the rockets. Evidently the folks at Hamas were hard of hearing. Most unfortunate.

M. Simon   ·  January 17, 2009 02:13 PM

Cappy: with Chicago politics in his background Obama is dumb like a skunk, not a fox

Spencer Tracy   ·  January 18, 2009 02:09 PM

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