|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
ITER vs The Stone Axe
Stephen Strauss takes a look at big science and comes away unimpressed. He talks about two exhibits he saw. One for the $15 billion ITER (pronounced EATER - heh) and another about neolithic technology - mat weaving, pottery making, chipping stone axes. At the recent European Science Open Forum conference in Barcelona, for example, I was strolling through exhibits aimed at -- please don't gag -- science outreach. The underlying theme of all these displays seemed to me to be: since their schooling actually teaches many ordinary people to be discomforted by -- if not to actually fear and loath -- science, let's see if we can't do something in these venues to get people to hate science a little bit less.And why do people hate science so much? Well it is hard to understand and requires a lot of complicated math and difficult concepts. I'm pretty good with that sort of thing. I understand Einstein but the math is beyond me. String Theory? Fuhgeddaboutit. So how about neolithic technology? Right across from ITER was an exhibit in which a group of paleo-archeologists had set up a display to show the technology of the past in operation. So you had a guy sitting cross-legged, banging away at a rock to make a hand ax. Chip, chip, and chip. You had someone else weaving plants together to make a mat. Weave, weave, and weave. Someone else was taking clay and making a pot. There was no placard asking: Hand axe making, will it always be 40 years away? There were no critics of the effort calling it a huge waste of national resources.So how should we be thinking about such projects? A little differently to be sure. What you put in place with these vastly expensive research efforts is a "can't afford to fail" paradigm. Unlike trying to find the best plant material to weave into a mat, ITER, the Large Hadron Collider, etc., must succeed on first go-round. With ITER, there is no second kind of rock to be chipped away, no other plants to be woven, no different type of clay to be baked into a plate.So what should we be doing about fusion? Lots of small "understand the science" and "proof of concept" projects. Say 100 two million dollar efforts. About 10 twenty million dollar efforts based on the successes of the two million dollar jobs. And one or two two hundred million dollar efforts based on the promise of the $20 million efforts. Total cost of around a billion dollars a year when everything is fully ramped up. Nothing that is too big to fail and nothing where testable results are fifteen to thirty years off. Of course I have my favorites. Here is one that I described in the Fusion Report of 29 August 2008. Cross Posted at Power and Control posted by Simon on 09.30.08 at 05:32 AM
Comments
If he fails to make a proper axe, he may die of pneumonia because he can't make a proper shelter. If we don't make a proper super collider, we'll go home, have a nice meal, watch some tele and sleep in a comfortable bed. tim maguire · September 30, 2008 12:57 PM Why do we need fusion reactors when we have Breeder Reactors? Or smaller, safer standard reactors? I wonder how many nukes that produce power NOW could be built with that money? Another big issue with Fusion is the fuel source. Its not terribly dense. Increasingly, government funded science is a jobs program. Anonymous · September 30, 2008 04:23 PM Why do we need fusion reactors when we have Breeder Reactors? Or smaller, safer standard reactors? I wonder how many nukes that produce power NOW could be built with that money? Another big issue with Fusion is the fuel source. Its not terribly dense. Increasingly, government funded science is a jobs program. Austin · September 30, 2008 04:24 PM I wonder how many nukes that produce power NOW could be built with that money? About 1/4 breeder a year. Understanding plasma physics may have other uses than just fusion. You never know. In any case fusion power is expected to be low cost relative to breeders if the right type of reactor can be built. In any case I'm talking about a program on the same scale as ITER with at least 10X better results. M. Simon · September 30, 2008 04:28 PM I understand Einstein but the math is beyond me. I suspect that you could understand the math if you spent the time. It's just linear algebra. Max · September 30, 2008 05:30 PM Seriously, if we can make just one Higgs boson with the thing, it will be worth it, because that will unlock all sorts of doors. It would be for particle physics what the discovery of radium's effects on photographic plates was for nuclear physics. If we cannot make any Higgs bosons with it, then the astronomically small chance of not making one in the LHC would force a re-examination the Standard Model of particle physics, and that could actually open quite a few very different doors. Even if the LHC produces nothing, that nothing is an important thing to know about. Tatterdemalian · September 30, 2008 05:40 PM Maybe the exhibit was trying to make the point that if we don't get a handle en energy, we'll be living in mud huts and chipping our own axe-heads. I have to doubt Mr Balibar when he says "... fusion also emits neutrons that will produce helium gas bubbles inside the wall material, which tends to explode". On the other front, they shouldn't be pushing this as a solution to the energy crisis. They should be pushing it as a scientific experiment with definite goals, like the Large Hadron Collider. ZZMike · September 30, 2008 06:06 PM There is a good arguement to be made that there should be 'separation of science and state' for the good of science. As to String Theory, I read one practitioner of it say we wouldn't be able to test a theory for a hundred years....hmmm...I think that places that on the register of experimental truth somewhere far to the left of parapschyology and slightly right of theories of the Great Pumpkin. And another side note: Just how do Classical Values and Science interact? After all, from what I hear Pagans believed in heavenly chaos, and the Romans believed in slaves, and thus neither led to Science. Eric R. Ashley · September 30, 2008 06:23 PM nine women cannot make a baby in one month. while i agree some of these projects may be boondoggles, perhaps most of the $2,000,000 questions in plasma have been answered by now. venture capitalists have a target "check size" for this reason. they would rather place 100 $10m bets than 5,000 $200k ones because it costs time and money to manage each. the snob · September 30, 2008 09:28 PM Actually we really don't know much about plasma. The difficulty is that everything affects everything. Magnetic fields affect charged particles. Moving charged particles create magnetic fields and all that interacts. So the moving charged particles affect the magnetic fields. And then you have all the charges interacting. == It may be easier to watch over a fewer larger projects but if there are 100 things you need to know and you are only looking at 5 of them at a total cost equal to looking at the 100 bits then you are obviously wasting money. == For instance - we have no idea why the sun's corona is a a temperature many multiples of the sun's temperature. That is definitely worth looking into and might give us some hints about how to do fusion. M. Simon · September 30, 2008 09:54 PM Eric R. Ashley, The Romans were very good engineers. Some of their roads have lasted 2,000 years. Checked the roads in Illinois lately? M. Simon · September 30, 2008 09:58 PM The Romans were very good engineers. But not scientists. With widespread slavery, the physical labor involved in say, testing out whether your new type of hand-axes are good ones is something that is considered to be the job of slaves. You can't support a culture of experimentalism alongside a culture of slavery. In any case, there is a role for megascience to support the sort of individual experiments you want. In some cases, this multi-billion-dollar infrastructure creates a place for thousands of scientists to explore their individual ideas that they wouldn't be able to otherwise. Projects like the International Space Station and, before that, SkyLab, serve as infrastructure which allow lots and lots of scientists to design and submit experiments individually. Now, one can argue whether this is a good use of limited resources to create this infrastructure, but you are mistaken if you think that such infrastructure is antithetical to supporting the role of the individual trial-and-error experimenter. The fixed costs are quite high, but if we're in a situation where the marginal costs of experimentation that uses this infrastructure is relatively low, then you have the potential for great scientific payoff. Tyro · September 30, 2008 11:33 PM Um, you do realize we've been doing fusion research for decades, right? It's not like ITER just fell from the heavens, it follows from research that has been going on since the 1950s. The $2M projects have been done, the $20M projects have been done, the $200M projects have been done. Now it's time for the multibillion dollar project. The brutal, unfortunate reality is that science is complicated and can get expensive. Rick · October 1, 2008 02:31 AM Rick, You realize that edge mode instabilities in the ITER design have been known for 20 years and that not only was there no fix but the design for a proposed fix was only added after construction had started? ITER is not science. ITER is not engineering. ITER is a con job. M. Simon · October 1, 2008 11:02 AM Mega projects may be needed to do space. (I have my doubts). They are not a good way to do fusion. M. Simon · October 1, 2008 11:07 AM The instabilities are called ELMs in the technical literature. Edge Limited Modes. M. Simon · October 1, 2008 11:36 AM maybe this will help the discussion The Pale Scot · October 1, 2008 01:20 PM Indeed, I do not hate science. While my high school teachers did their best to make me hate it, I really enjoy what is happening now. Sadly, i do not have the maths ability to really check what is going on. As Brett said, the problem becomes, and largely has become, when we adopt science as a new religion. We compare everything with science, and even go as far as to say that everything needs to be scientific. The biggest insult to anything new is: uncscientific. The reductionistic approach of science is good in some fields, not all, not EVERYWHERE as it is now. am i an individual, or just another statistic or maybe even a standard deviation of some sigma...f&ck knows - i am unscientific me! Thomas · October 1, 2008 04:53 PM Post a comment
You may use basic HTML for formatting.
|
|
October 2008
WORLD-WIDE CALENDAR
Search the Site
E-mail
Classics To Go
Archives
October 2008
September 2008 August 2008 July 2008 June 2008 May 2008 April 2008 March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004 June 2004 May 2004 April 2004 March 2004 February 2004 January 2004 December 2003 November 2003 October 2003 September 2003 August 2003 July 2003 June 2003 May 2003 May 2002 AB 1634 MBAPBSAAGOP Skepticism See more archives here Old (Blogspot) archives
Recent Entries
What's Wrong With This Picture?
Lawyer For Terrorists Defends Obama Obama Money Needs Investigation High Praise For Biden How enlightening! Remember, experience counts! I not only question the timing, I resent the timing! Barack Has Some Friends Physics Gets A Bad Rap Add A Tax
Links
Alphecca (My Blogdaddy) ![]() ![]() Puff the Protector Andrew Sullivan Gays in Military Site Middle East Media Research Institute Gay Libertarian Site The Bitch Girls Join the NRA! SECOND AMENDMENT VIDEO! Shooters' Carnival
Tammy Bruce Gun Owners of America
David Hackworth
Hell In A Handbasket Matt Welch The Volokh Conspiracy Virginia Postrel PseudoPsalms The Light of Reason The Anger of Compassion Anger Management Dustbury.com Rachel Lucas Shadow Government reflections in d minor JustOneMinute Boone Country Catallarchy Agenda Bender Mike Silverman Steven Malcolm Anderson Walter in Denver Impearls Donald Sensing Howard Owens Loco Parentis Colby Cosh VodkaPundit Radley Balko Dean's World The Queen of All Evil baldilocks Joe Gandelman Dave Tepper Begging to Differ Kesher Talk Jeff Jarvis Doc Searls Little Green Footballs Captain Ed Oh, That Liberal Media! ICANNfocus.org God of the Machine Sandefur's Freespace Wizbang Robert Prather LawPundit The Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler
Amygdala bilious young fogey MadLab On the Fritz why dave bergman is neat Skiplog Clowning Glory Dispatches from the Culture Wars Where in Washington, D.C. is Sun Myung Moon? Anti-Socialist Tendencies Of Interest WICKED THOUGHTS Setting The World To Rights doubleplusgood infotainment It Can't Rain All The Time Scrutineer Nick Danger, International Man of Mystery seldom sober TRITICALE Random Jottings Graham Lester point2point Shark Blog Gene Healy Discount Blogger Six Foot Pole Dodgeblogium Across the Atlantic The Imperialist Dog Lex Talionis Mind Of Mog Say Uncle CAMPVS MAWRTIVS res gestae dionysii Annika's Journal & Poetry A :{FRUSTRATED}: ARTIST Yet another weird SF fan Lincoln Cat The Meatriarchy Who is Ronald? Short Daddy Punch Drunk Mookie Riffic On The Third Hand MatthewEdgar.net ZenPundit Jennifer's History and Stuff argghhh!!! Modulator D.C. Thornton Centerfield Asymmetrical Information Airline Pilots Security Assn Relapsed Catholic PAPADOC Abraca-Pocus The Pryhills Winds of Change Daily Pundit The Speculist Regnum Crucis The Elfin Ethicist Classics in Contemporary Culture elephant-rabbits A Perfectly Cromulent Blog allied Parableman Southern Musings CALIFORNIA YANKEE Allen's Arena Ex-Gay Watch Jonno Michael Moore doesn't love me! Eschaton Clayton Cramer Letters From a Strip of Dirt Oliver Willis Hesiod Theogeny Dr Zen JunkYardBlog Orcinus Ideofact Letter from Gotham Oraculations INCITE Positive Liberty ALLAH IS IN THE HOUSE Tiny Little Lies My So-Called Penis Keith Devens Jason Holliston W(h)ine Country Straight White Guy Ken MacLeod Lawrence Lessig PaleoJudaica.com EdCone.com Common Sense and Wonder Who knew? Daily Howler James Landrith Chief Wiggles L.T. Smash damnum absque injuria Daniel W. Drezner OxBlog Reason of Voice Steven Den Beste Wonkette! Cranial Cavity Gibberish in Neutral DramaQueen vivalabloog Classics in Contemporary Culture The LLama Butchers HobbsOnLine ACIDMAN Sector 7-G Zogby Blog mtpolitics.net Horologium Civic Dialogues Practical Penumbra Right Wing News Stranger in a Strange Land Ambient Irony Tiger: Raggin' & Rantin' Read My Lips Jay Solo The Alliance The Smallest Minority Wrong Side of Happiness Wince and Nod One Little Victory Fishbucket suburban blight Sketches of Strain Boi from Troy Being American in T.O. Outside the Beltway One Fine Jay Bill and Kent's Place on the Web Burton Terrace This Book Stinks The Happy Carpenter Political Correctness Watch GREENIE WATCH Resource.full This Liberal" Brainville BLAMBLOG Ordinary Galoot QandO Josh Cohen Extra Ordinary Ideas brykMantra Croooow Blog Old Right commiewatch Proculian Meditations UggaBugga Dustin the No-Longer-Blogless Les Jones Blog Temporal Globe Postcards from Nowhere Tarazet Unfogged Synthstuff Riba Rambles Mitch Berg The National Debate scha-den-freu-de Ocean Guy Topic Exchange CELESTIAL OFFERINGS Texas Native Somewhere over the Rainbough Why read this? End NPR Bias Ace of Spades HQ Web Dawn GANGSTORIES Sheila Astray's Redheaded Ramblings Alan Sullivan (Seablogger) hobbyblog FuturePundit.com Tim Blair A Voyage To Arcturus HipperCritical BarlowFriendz Jihad Watch Kin's Kouch Bad Money The Campblog News Junkie Canada De Doc's Doings Bigwig Eject!Eject!Eject! Tom's Nap Room A Coon Cat's World The sexual adventures of Woodie and Peaches Crystalline Ceramics Web Resource Heh. Indeed. NakedVillainy.com Andrew David Chamberlain The Karmic Inquisition Adam Smith Institute Weblog Andrea Harris Hi. I'm Black Banana Oil Jim Miller on Politics Who Tends the Fires Ranck and File MOLOTOV COCKTAIL FRANK NOLI IRRITARE LEONES Miss O'Hara deadmaus Coffee With Rhoads robot guy Travelling Shoes Admiral Quixote's Roundtable danm.us The Argus Dissecting Leftism Dissecting Leftism -- OLD Site Aaron's cc Commentariat The Argus - Registan INDC Journal Pundit Ex Machina DeMythology Peppermint Tea Gilly's World Beyond the Black Hole La Shawn Barber" Perverse Access Memory Invisible Adjunct Photon Courier Intel Dump Junkscience.com The SmarterCop Laban Tall Banagor Peeve Farm Rand Simberg camedwards.com Kim du Toit Mrs. du Toit Dancing with Dogs Two--Four Heretical Ideas Astonished Head Outlandish Josh Central Oregon for Dean The White Peril 白禍 (Sean Kinsell) www.blktlr.com Subterranean Bungalo DFMoore Dave Halliday Well Versed Qoheleth 60: Joel Moody's Repository quo vado jonrowe.blogspot.com yellopad Sticks of Fire Dissecting Leftism ByteMagick Blogs of War PRESTOPUNDIT Of Interest The Meatriarchy Bernhardt Varenius The Forager Miller?s Time Blogs of War painting to stay (?) sane Blue Goldfish | Surface Clowning Glory House of Payne International Last Chance Caf馬t;/a> Psychology of Leftism a_sdf CONSERVATISM/RIGHTISM Taylor & Company The Vicious Circle Leftists as Elitists Eye of the Storm A scratch area Wicked Thoughts Filtrat The Bayou City Perspective The Belfry Blogger Setting The World To Rights Ljonn.com Oddly Normal Varifrank Jamie Jamison on Technology GayPatriot A New York Escorts Confessions jamescalvin.com The Eleven Day Empire Dr. Rusty Shackleford Eric's Grumles Before The Grave Belmont Club Gumbo Pie BeldarBlog MooreThoughts Blind Adherence Last One Speaks Logic Monkey Bird's Eye View DIRTY WATER Forgadring precision-guided cowboy Punditmania Minor Thoughts Just Askin' HispaLibertas Let's Try Freedom Megan McArdle Ann Althouse Beautiful Atrocities Sean Hackbarth Power and Control Professor Bainbridge Power Line Dialogic Darleen's Place I'm N.O. Pundit! Done With Mirrors AMERICAN FUTURE CodeBlueBlog Gay Orbit Urthshu Zacht Ei Interested-Participant blake taylor The Anchoress Freespeech.com Spiked Decision '08 (Mark Coffey) White Lightning Axiom: Redux The Big Picture Rachel Lucas BEI John Cole Haight Speech evolution: on the loose Moderates of all Nations, Unite! Jeff Gannon THE GLEESON BLOGLOMERATE Pajama Pundits Centerpiece The Radical Centrist Lab-Tested FreedomSight AmbivaBlog evolution Marx & Friends in their own words Elective Application Religion Research Islam Blog YOUNGPUNDIT.COM {finding peace in the chaos} IQ & PC -- By Chris Brand Classics in Contemporary Culture Morse's Code A&W Bench Marx Julie Neidlinger Shades of Gray The Daily Lion: NeoLibertarianism on a Stick Miller's Time Centerpiece This Liberal Coming Anarchy Lay Lines that'sRich the blog eclectic booklore Yankee Madmen Jesusland Expatriate Amazing Motor Girls Spiced Sass Decline and Fall of Western Civilization Modern Crusader MaroonBlog Skriblerier, etc. I am partially fused with infinity Eros Colored Glasses Bill Peschel: The man comes around The Twins Tell the Truth wickens.ca The War of Ideas ConsterNations EaglesUp Blog Vitriolics Anonymous DIRTY WATER Mean Mr. Mustard 2.0 EDUCATION WATCH THE RIGHT SCALE AIS Knight Hammer SOCIALIZED MEDICINE The Argus DON'T BE DUMB! Blue Goldfish | Surface GUN WATCH De Docs Institute for Memetic Engineering And Polymaths... Wordpress Test Weblog Kapowie Zone Political Theory: Weblogs You know, they say... all blogged down Harkonnendog Big Dirigible GeoPoliticalreview.com Coyote Blog Blog Retrofuturistic VietPundit JasonColeman.com Logical Meme Bloggledygook Discursive Recursions Bird's Eye View Right Wing Nut House ELEMENOHPEE Locusts and Honey Moonbattery The Everlasting Phelps Mythusmage Opines The Cassandra Page Of Arms & the Law The Daily Bork Strange Stuff Another Gay Republican Libertarian Man of Mystery Liberty Just In Case TalkLeft Joe's Dartblog Iowa Hawk The Common Room Darth Vader Gay Bipolar Republican Boxing Alcibiades Baby TrollBlog Strange Fictions Urban Hermit The Eye of Polyphemus Toe In The Water Bryan's Basement Fishkite Right on the Left Coast Beltway Buzz pike speak Scared Monkeys The Mudville Gazette Matt Sheffield Undercaffeinated Trey Jackson NashvilleFiles.com Moonbat Central Dust my Broom The Cliffs of Insanity Riding Sun The Modo Blog Philly Future philly Off In The Tall Weeds Doug Petch.Com Gays for Life the True Nature of Reality Spinning Clio Mike Huckabee President 2008 A.E.Brain that rogueclassicist guy A M㯠Invis�l Constantly Risking Absurdity Laurence Simon Notes & Musings A World of Speculation Weird Events Pit Bull Wars New World Man Mark in Mexico The Palmetto Pundit All Things Jen(nifer) Generic Confusion Justus for All iHillary Michael Totten Don Surber Maggie's Farm Unpaid Punditry Corps The Counter Hippie Kicking On Doors FunnyBusiness Restless Mania Mark Tapscott nobody sasses a girl in glasses Letters from the Bostonian Exile The Education Wonks Diana Hseih just muttering Right-Wing of the Gods Michelle Malkin Inside Larry's Head Ballpoint Wren A Blog For All The Liberal Wrong American Outlook Splog Reporter From the Grand Stand Tinabell Affordable Housing Institute mudphud Living In The Past Searchlight Crusade Gus Van Horn Ian Schwartz One Billion Red Chinese and a Dog Named Liberty Suburban Bourgeois The Metropolis Times DR. HELEN Philadelphia AIDS Thrift Sir Humphrey's Birth Story The Simplest Thing Blue Star Chronicles One Stack Mind Cathy Young Neocon Express A A R D V A R K World Climate Report Apartment 604 Yelling at the Windshield Kimdergarten/ ShrinkWrapped The Bear Cave X marks the blogspot CARRY ON AMERICA Jim Rose Kiril, The Mad Macedonian Signal 94 Pseudo-Polymath The International Libertarian Gates of Vienna California Sojourn The Liberty Papers Barcepundit A. Jacksonian Jon Swift Tim Maguire Three Sticks Asymmetric Dog Politics OregonGuy Little Miss Attila Buuuuurrrrning Hot AGENT BEDHEAD Tygrrrr Express David Harsanyi Snowflakes in Hell Earnest Iconoclast Eternity Road Musings of the GeekWithA.45 Total Survivalist Libertarian Rantfest Argue With Everyone Political Forum Nathan J. Winograd Assistant Village Idiot Parkway Rest Stop Grouchy Old Cripple Technicalities Coalition of the Swilling TigerHawk Mary Madigan Sad Old Goth Erica Sherman Joated Ezra Levant
![]() Blogroll Classical Values! Pssst! Wanna get on the Classical Values blogroll? Please send me an email and let me know, because although I try to keep up, sometimes I have trouble finding every last link.
Site Credits
|
|
I don't hate science, but I do hate scientists who have convinced themselves that their expertise in macro-subatomic particles or imaginary linguistic structures qualifies them as moral and political philosophers.
I really hate scientists who conduct research, usually spending looted money, in order to promote their favored legislation. Such seem to believe their status as scientists prevents our recognizing them as corrupt liars.