|
|
|
|
February 20, 2008
The strategic rightness of total wrongness
Regarding the ongoing right wing animosity towards John McCain, Clayton Cramer has a good question for conservatives: Do you want someone is wrong half the time, or someone who is wrong all the time?Well, according to the logic of Ann Coulter or Pat Buchanan, being wrong all the time is better than being wrong half the time. The idea which drives the vote-for-the-enemy theory is that Americans must be made to "bottom out," and that when the voters have finally suffered enough under socialism, they will see the light, and elect a "real" conservative. I don't buy it, and it's not just because I am cynical. It's because I lived in California for many years, and I watched it slide further and further to the left, while the Republicans who steadfastly maintained the purity of their politics were unable to win either the governorship or the majority of the legislature. Finally, Arnold Schwarzenegger (a maverick Republican in some ways analogous to McCain) managed to get elected only because of a fluke which enabled him to avoid a primary which would have doomed him. There was plenty of GOP purity in California, but the people didn't vote for it. Why it is believed that at the national level, things would be different and people would see the errors of their ways, I don't know. I also remember that after eight years of unending Clinton scandals plus an impeachment, Bill and Hill would have been overwhelmingly reelected again had they been allowed to run in 2000. Even the lackluster Al Gore lost only by a hair, if that. Doesn't anyone remember these things? This country is very closely divided, and I don't know where on earth people get the idea that a far-right, Coulter-Buchanan-Dobson approved conservative candidate can win the middle -- if only enough people suffer long enough under Democrats. Of course, another scenario is that there's a faction of the right wing that doesn't care whether they ever win, and don't consider voting for Hillary (or not voting) to be strategic at all. They may consider themselves ideological guardians, and what they may have learned from two Bush terms is that there's no greater threat to ideological purity than the necessities of power. They may believe that their party needs to be out of power in order to shore up its deteriorating ideology, and I suppose a good argument can be made that the party will be more "united" if it is completely out of power, and goes into "Long March" mode. The problem there is that changing demographics may doom them to irrelevancy. But the purists (especially the social conservative purists) might not care. They may see themselves as analogous to the medieval monks who kept the culture alive during the Dark Ages. I see that mindset as a bit grandiose and egocentric, but even allowing for the possibility that they may be right about cultural purity, it's not a strategy for victory. As Ed Morrissey observed astutely in a post Glenn Reynolds linked while I was away, We're not electing a Pope or a Minister-in-Chief.We're also not electing the Commander-in-Chief of the Culture War. Which is a good thing, because if the people get to choose between a philandering husband and a tireless anti-sex warrior like James Dobson, I think they'd prefer to vote for the former -- stained blue dress and all. So what's up with the moral crusaders? Do they actually want to accelerate the moral decline of which they complain? If they do, it's a very strange strategy. posted by Eric on 02.20.08 at 10:02 AM
Comments
The biggest wound to the Republican party was tying itself to "cultural conservatives". Thanks to folks from the Moral Majority, the party here was taken over by religiously motivated folks at the precinct level. It was extremely easy to take over the county organizations. After that, all a dem had to do was talk about a Woman's Right to Choose. The evangelical's desire to mandate what should be a private, family decision has left us with a democrat party where mere concern over increasingly stupid economic and science policy trumps common sense. Because there is no common sense among Republicans. "What's our issue? Abortion! What are we gonna do? End it now!" There are a lot of Holy Joes out there with rock in hand. Iconic faith in the principles of our Founding Fathers has to be maintained. Good intentions aside, without that, where is the difference? The Religious Right's impulse to tell us how to live our lives is more consistent with the Democrat/Lefty impulse to tell us how to live our lives. How will it turn out? Watching Venezuela is like having a laboratory in your own back yard. Did you listen to Obama last night? To Senator Clinton? The issues are boiling down to just one. Who do you think will do a better job looking out for your interests, the Government or you? OregonGuy · February 20, 2008 12:34 PM Well, just speaking as a treasonous American, I think it's possible to try to play long ball in politics. Do you think a Ford win in '76 would have advanced conservative interests, because Ford would have been right some of the time? Or that we were possibly better off with Carter, whose dismal record caused an awakening that made the election of Ron Reagan possible? Do you think the swift right turn under Reagan would have been possible, had Jimmy Carter not soiled himself and liberalism for four years? Had a mediocre liberal Republican been in office in '80, don't you think 12 years of Republican incumbency would have favored a turn to the preferred Dem men in waiting - the Ted Kennedys and Gary Harts? Seeing as Obama is the likely Dem nominee, I'll probably have to hold my nose and vote for McCain, who will be wrong perhaps 60% of the time, but will at least (probably) be right on (probably) 75% of national defense questions. I suspect that Obama would be wrong roughly 100% of the time, and that this wrongness - specifically his horrifying naivete about foreign affairs - would be literally fatal to many, and lead us into much, much more dangerous times. As a moral matter (damned social conservatives and their treasonous morals...) I don't think I can condone urging the country towards national disaster. That said, it's just my judgment about what I think will happen. I get there because my premise is that Obama will lead a disastrous retreat in the GWOT, which is clearly winnable if we're in it for the long term; and I assume McCain realizes this and would stick it out. Those are just my beliefs though - McCain has been really ready to ditch core beliefs to win a headline or to spite a political enemy, and Obama is likely to be moderated a bit by Congress, at least if there is a voter revolt after two years of insanity, a la 1994. Yet I think it's a non-trivial argument to make, to suggest that a nation sometimes (not always) needs to hit rock bottom before it has a moment of clarity and changes its ways. If the opinion polls are correct and the entire nation has taken a fairly hard left turn in the last 5 years, and if the moment of clarity is needed, then the sooner we can have it the better. There's potential costs with either approach, and a lot depends on your premises and how you view the next couple years unfolding, an impossible predictive task. I'm uncertain enough of my own beliefs of how things will go down, that I'm loathe to call people who see it differently treasonous or insane, and in fact wonder where people are getting their facts from, to be so certain about how the future will shake out. Al Maviva · February 20, 2008 12:53 PM The moral crusaders of both the left and right don't recognize that limited government requires the enforcement of a limited moral code: the defense of life, liberty, and property. All the other desires of both the progressives and the social conservatives are strictly matters for private life. Sorry guys, the personal ain't political. Brett · February 20, 2008 02:19 PM Sorry, Al, but if Ford had been elected in '76, we might have been able to avoid the current conflict with radical Islam. It's not a foregone conclusion, but we can't know for sure what would have happened. It might be that Ford's performance in '76-'80 could have brought Congress under Republican control much sooner than otherwise happened. The Soviet Union might have collapsed in the early '80s rather than the late '80s. Who can say? But to allow such terrible things to happen to our country in the hope that four (or more likely eight) years later, people will repent of their decisions is foolhardy. It's Russian roulette. Better to implement a stop-gap measure and work on shoring up conservative principles at the local and state levels so we can have a better field of candidates the next go-round. John S. · February 20, 2008 08:03 PM Yes Al, I must agree with John S. If we think John McCain has not been true to certain principles we cherish, how does our abandoning those same ideas to support someone who is 100% antithetical to them make us better than McCain? Bob Thompson · February 20, 2008 08:58 PM Also, remember that California is NOT representative of the rest of the USA. And the prospect of an Obama Administration's utter failure (v.s. a Clinton administration's canny triangulating) would improve a conservative's chances in 2012. Some guy · February 21, 2008 12:54 AM Sure, vote for the RINO because, just maybe, things will turn around. I've heard that every single presidential election since the early 80s. Same old, same old. That's why things have gotten this bad. The RINOs don't have to give a sh*t what you think because they know you'll have no choice. Just like blacks and the democrats. Who you gonna vote for, Whitey? Keep voting for the "lesser" socialist, and soon enough you'll only get to vote socialist. Like now. 3 socialists. One women, one colored, one crazy old white coot. Enjoy your tasty sh*t sandwich. Yummy! anonymous · February 21, 2008 01:18 AM Trimegistus, don't forget your history. The moral majority's been a cornerstone of the Republican party since it's founding. Of course back then they were called Radical Republicans as opposed to the Moral Majority, and they violently hated the Democrats; remember John Brown and Bleeding Kansas? As for the idea that many Republicans are rejecting McCain out of political purity, that's absolute bunk. It's a rejection of socialism. This whole election cycle has represented a very hard move to the left by the Republican Party Bosses, and is a gigantic middle finger to the Republican base. Also it grates on just as many of us libertarians within the Republican party as it does the moral majority side of the aisle. That stated, I'll vote for McCain, and then hope that Congress ends up evenly split between the Republicans and Democrats. dee · February 21, 2008 05:38 AM "Also, remember that California is NOT representative of the rest of the USA." And the other thing to remember is that conservative Californians could leave CA for other parts of the US. That acts as a safety valve. When the entire country goes socialist, where will you run to? The other thing is that just as when Bush talks about the Long War he wasn't talking about just his administration. He was talking about 30 years or more. My own estimate is that it will take a generation of lousy socialist economics, spiced with a couple of Muslim nukes because of socialist foreign policy stupidity, before "the hearts of the meanest were humbled, However, if fools only learn at the school of experience, we might as well start the schooling, and I'm not going to leave the fools any RINO cover when it happens. SDN · February 22, 2008 11:42 PM Post a comment
You may use basic HTML for formatting.
|
|
February 2008
WORLD-WIDE CALENDAR
Search the Site
E-mail
Classics To Go
Archives
February 2008
January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004 June 2004 May 2004 April 2004 March 2004 February 2004 January 2004 December 2003 November 2003 October 2003 September 2003 August 2003 July 2003 June 2003 May 2003 May 2002 AB 1634 MBAPBSALLAMERICANGOP See more archives here Old (Blogspot) archives
Recent Entries
World Net Daily strikes again!
All the change that's fit to Xerox! Damned with faint pride "Beauty is only skin deep." (But appearances rule!) Inaccurate smearing of American founder "it's just a shame that these things happen." So let's have dialogue? The strategic rightness of total wrongness The campaign that will not die! Sustaining a better world!
Links
Alphecca (My Blogdaddy) ![]() ![]() Puff the Protector Andrew Sullivan Gays in Military Site Middle East Media Research Institute Gay Libertarian Site The Bitch Girls Join the NRA! SECOND AMENDMENT VIDEO! Shooters' Carnival
Tammy Bruce Gun Owners of America
David Hackworth
Hell In A Handbasket Matt Welch The Volokh Conspiracy Virginia Postrel PseudoPsalms The Light of Reason The Anger of Compassion Anger Management Dustbury.com Rachel Lucas Shadow Government reflections in d minor JustOneMinute Boone Country Catallarchy Agenda Bender Mike Silverman Steven Malcolm Anderson Walter in Denver Impearls Donald Sensing Howard Owens Loco Parentis Colby Cosh VodkaPundit Radley Balko Dean's World The Queen of All Evil baldilocks Joe Gandelman Dave Tepper Begging to Differ Kesher Talk Jeff Jarvis Doc Searls Little Green Footballs Captain Ed Oh, That Liberal Media! ICANNfocus.org God of the Machine Sandefur's Freespace Wizbang Robert Prather LawPundit The Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler
Amygdala bilious young fogey MadLab On the Fritz why dave bergman is neat Skiplog Clowning Glory Dispatches from the Culture Wars Where in Washington, D.C. is Sun Myung Moon? Anti-Socialist Tendencies Of Interest WICKED THOUGHTS Setting The World To Rights doubleplusgood infotainment It Can't Rain All The Time Scrutineer Nick Danger, International Man of Mystery seldom sober TRITICALE Random Jottings Graham Lester point2point Shark Blog Gene Healy Discount Blogger Six Foot Pole Dodgeblogium Across the Atlantic The Imperialist Dog Lex Talionis Mind Of Mog Say Uncle CAMPVS MAWRTIVS res gestae dionysii Annika's Journal & Poetry A :{FRUSTRATED}: ARTIST Yet another weird SF fan Lincoln Cat The Meatriarchy Who is Ronald? Short Daddy Punch Drunk Mookie Riffic On The Third Hand MatthewEdgar.net ZenPundit Jennifer's History and Stuff argghhh!!! Modulator D.C. Thornton Centerfield Asymmetrical Information Airline Pilots Security Assn Relapsed Catholic PAPADOC Abraca-Pocus The Pryhills Winds of Change Daily Pundit The Speculist Regnum Crucis The Elfin Ethicist Classics in Contemporary Culture elephant-rabbits A Perfectly Cromulent Blog allied Parableman Southern Musings CALIFORNIA YANKEE Allen's Arena Ex-Gay Watch Jonno Michael Moore doesn't love me! Eschaton Clayton Cramer Letters From a Strip of Dirt Oliver Willis Hesiod Theogeny Dr Zen JunkYardBlog Orcinus Ideofact Letter from Gotham Oraculations INCITE Positive Liberty ALLAH IS IN THE HOUSE Tiny Little Lies My So-Called Penis Keith Devens Jason Holliston W(h)ine Country Straight White Guy Ken MacLeod Lawrence Lessig PaleoJudaica.com EdCone.com Common Sense and Wonder Who knew? Daily Howler James Landrith Chief Wiggles L.T. Smash damnum absque injuria Daniel W. Drezner OxBlog Reason of Voice Steven Den Beste Wonkette! Cranial Cavity Gibberish in Neutral DramaQueen vivalabloog Classics in Contemporary Culture The LLama Butchers HobbsOnLine ACIDMAN Sector 7-G Zogby Blog mtpolitics.net Horologium Civic Dialogues Practical Penumbra Right Wing News Stranger in a Strange Land Ambient Irony Tiger: Raggin' & Rantin' Read My Lips Jay Solo The Alliance The Smallest Minority Wrong Side of Happiness Wince and Nod One Little Victory Fishbucket suburban blight Sketches of Strain Boi from Troy Being American in T.O. Outside the Beltway One Fine Jay Bill and Kent's Place on the Web Burton Terrace This Book Stinks The Happy Carpenter Political Correctness Watch GREENIE WATCH Resource.full This Liberal" Brainville BLAMBLOG Ordinary Galoot QandO Josh Cohen Extra Ordinary Ideas brykMantra Croooow Blog Old Right commiewatch Proculian Meditations UggaBugga Dustin the No-Longer-Blogless Les Jones Blog Temporal Globe Postcards from Nowhere Tarazet Unfogged Synthstuff Riba Rambles Mitch Berg The National Debate scha-den-freu-de Ocean Guy Topic Exchange CELESTIAL OFFERINGS Texas Native Somewhere over the Rainbough Why read this? End NPR Bias Ace of Spades HQ Web Dawn GANGSTORIES Sheila Astray's Redheaded Ramblings Alan Sullivan (Seablogger) hobbyblog FuturePundit.com Tim Blair A Voyage To Arcturus HipperCritical BarlowFriendz Jihad Watch Kin's Kouch Bad Money The Campblog News Junkie Canada De Doc's Doings Bigwig Eject!Eject!Eject! Tom's Nap Room A Coon Cat's World The sexual adventures of Woodie and Peaches Crystalline Ceramics Web Resource Heh. Indeed. NakedVillainy.com Andrew David Chamberlain The Karmic Inquisition Adam Smith Institute Weblog Andrea Harris Hi. I'm Black Banana Oil Jim Miller on Politics Who Tends the Fires Ranck and File MOLOTOV COCKTAIL FRANK NOLI IRRITARE LEONES Miss O'Hara deadmaus Coffee With Rhoads robot guy Travelling Shoes Admiral Quixote's Roundtable danm.us The Argus Dissecting Leftism Dissecting Leftism -- OLD Site Aaron's cc Commentariat The Argus - Registan INDC Journal Pundit Ex Machina DeMythology Peppermint Tea Gilly's World Beyond the Black Hole La Shawn Barber" Perverse Access Memory Invisible Adjunct Photon Courier Intel Dump Junkscience.com The SmarterCop Laban Tall Banagor Peeve Farm Rand Simberg camedwards.com Kim du Toit Mrs. du Toit Dancing with Dogs Two--Four Heretical Ideas Astonished Head Outlandish Josh Central Oregon for Dean The White Peril 白禍 (Sean Kinsell) www.blktlr.com Subterranean Bungalo DFMoore Dave Halliday Well Versed Qoheleth 60: Joel Moody's Repository quo vado jonrowe.blogspot.com yellopad Sticks of Fire Dissecting Leftism ByteMagick Blogs of War PRESTOPUNDIT Of Interest The Meatriarchy Bernhardt Varenius The Forager Miller?s Time Blogs of War painting to stay (?) sane Blue Goldfish | Surface Clowning Glory House of Payne International Last Chance Caf馬t;/a> Psychology of Leftism a_sdf CONSERVATISM/RIGHTISM Taylor & Company The Vicious Circle Leftists as Elitists Eye of the Storm A scratch area Wicked Thoughts Filtrat The Bayou City Perspective The Belfry Blogger Setting The World To Rights Ljonn.com Oddly Normal Varifrank Jamie Jamison on Technology GayPatriot A New York Escorts Confessions jamescalvin.com The Eleven Day Empire Dr. Rusty Shackleford Eric's Grumles Before The Grave Belmont Club Gumbo Pie BeldarBlog MooreThoughts Blind Adherence Last One Speaks Logic Monkey Bird's Eye View DIRTY WATER Forgadring precision-guided cowboy Punditmania Minor Thoughts Just Askin' HispaLibertas Let's Try Freedom Megan McArdle Ann Althouse Beautiful Atrocities Sean Hackbarth Power and Control Professor Bainbridge Power Line Dialogic Darleen's Place I'm N.O. Pundit! Done With Mirrors AMERICAN FUTURE CodeBlueBlog Gay Orbit Urthshu Zacht Ei Interested-Participant blake taylor The Anchoress Freespeech.com Spiked Decision '08 (Mark Coffey) White Lightning Axiom: Redux The Big Picture Rachel Lucas BEI John Cole Haight Speech evolution: on the loose Moderates of all Nations, Unite! Jeff Gannon THE GLEESON BLOGLOMERATE Pajama Pundits Centerpiece The Radical Centrist Lab-Tested FreedomSight AmbivaBlog evolution Marx & Friends in their own words Elective Application Religion Research Islam Blog YOUNGPUNDIT.COM {finding peace in the chaos} IQ & PC -- By Chris Brand Classics in Contemporary Culture Morse's Code A&W Bench Marx Julie Neidlinger Shades of Gray The Daily Lion: NeoLibertarianism on a Stick Miller's Time Centerpiece This Liberal Coming Anarchy Lay Lines that'sRich the blog eclectic booklore Yankee Madmen Jesusland Expatriate Amazing Motor Girls Spiced Sass Decline and Fall of Western Civilization Modern Crusader MaroonBlog Skriblerier, etc. I am partially fused with infinity Eros Colored Glasses Bill Peschel: The man comes around The Twins Tell the Truth wickens.ca The War of Ideas ConsterNations EaglesUp Blog Vitriolics Anonymous DIRTY WATER Mean Mr. Mustard 2.0 EDUCATION WATCH THE RIGHT SCALE AIS Knight Hammer SOCIALIZED MEDICINE The Argus DON'T BE DUMB! Blue Goldfish | Surface GUN WATCH De Docs Institute for Memetic Engineering And Polymaths... Wordpress Test Weblog Kapowie Zone Political Theory: Weblogs You know, they say... all blogged down Harkonnendog Big Dirigible GeoPoliticalreview.com Coyote Blog Blog Retrofuturistic VietPundit JasonColeman.com Logical Meme Bloggledygook Discursive Recursions Bird's Eye View Right Wing Nut House ELEMENOHPEE Locusts and Honey Moonbattery The Everlasting Phelps Mythusmage Opines The Cassandra Page Of Arms & the Law The Daily Bork Strange Stuff Another Gay Republican Libertarian Man of Mystery Liberty Just In Case TalkLeft Joe's Dartblog Iowa Hawk The Common Room Darth Vader Gay Bipolar Republican Boxing Alcibiades Baby TrollBlog Strange Fictions Urban Hermit The Eye of Polyphemus Toe In The Water Bryan's Basement Fishkite Right on the Left Coast Beltway Buzz pike speak Scared Monkeys The Mudville Gazette Matt Sheffield Undercaffeinated Trey Jackson NashvilleFiles.com Moonbat Central Dust my Broom The Cliffs of Insanity Riding Sun The Modo Blog Philly Future philly Off In The Tall Weeds Doug Petch.Com Gays for Life the True Nature of Reality Spinning Clio Mike Huckabee President 2008 A.E.Brain that rogueclassicist guy A M㯠Invisí¶¥l Constantly Risking Absurdity Laurence Simon Notes & Musings A World of Speculation Weird Events Pit Bull Wars New World Man Mark in Mexico The Palmetto Pundit All Things Jen(nifer) Generic Confusion Justus for All iHillary Michael Totten Don Surber Maggie's Farm Unpaid Punditry Corps The Counter Hippie Kicking On Doors FunnyBusiness Restless Mania Mark Tapscott nobody sasses a girl in glasses Letters from the Bostonian Exile The Education Wonks Diana Hseih just muttering Right-Wing of the Gods Michelle Malkin Inside Larry's Head Ballpoint Wren A Blog For All The Liberal Wrong American Outlook Splog Reporter From the Grand Stand Tinabell Affordable Housing Institute mudphud Living In The Past Searchlight Crusade Gus Van Horn Ian Schwartz One Billion Red Chinese and a Dog Named Liberty Suburban Bourgeois The Metropolis Times DR. HELEN Philadelphia AIDS Thrift Sir Humphrey's Birth Story The Simplest Thing Blue Star Chronicles One Stack Mind Cathy Young Neocon Express A A R D V A R K World Climate Report Apartment 604 Yelling at the Windshield Kimdergarten/ ShrinkWrapped The Bear Cave X marks the blogspot CARRY ON AMERICA Jim Rose Kiril, The Mad Macedonian Signal 94 Pseudo-Polymath The International Libertarian Gates of Vienna California Sojourn The Liberty Papers Barcepundit A. Jacksonian Jon Swift Tim Maguire Three Sticks Asymmetric Dog Politics OregonGuy Little Miss Attila Buuuuurrrrning Hot AGENT BEDHEAD THE TYGRRRR EXPRESS David Harsanyi Snowflakes in Hell Earnest Iconoclast Eternity Road Musings of the GeekWithA.45 Total Survivalist Libertarian Rantfest Argue With Everyone Political Forum Nathan J. Winograd Assistant Village Idiot Parkway Rest Stop Grouchy Old Cripple Technicalities Coalition of the Swilling TigerHawk Mary Madigan Sad Old Goth Erica Sherman Joated Ezra Levant
![]() Blogroll Classical Values! Pssst! Wanna get on the Classical Values blogroll? Please send me an email and let me know, because although I try to keep up, sometimes I have trouble finding every last link.
Site Credits
|
|
I think you should keep in mind that these three things are quite distinct:
1. What's best for America,
2. What's best for the Republican Party, and
3. What's best for the careers of specific conservative pundits.
The conservatives who are bad-mouthing McCain are concentrating on #3 to the detriment of #1 and #2. Their description of how it may benefit Republicans in the long term is blatantly wishful thinking, and their active disregard for the good of the nation borders on treason.
Hoping things get worse so that your "movement" can seize power is the kind of insane, evil strategy followed by Marxists and national socialists. If the Republicans take this poisonous advice they deserve to lose. Fortunately, the Republican voters seem to be much more sensible and patriotic than the self-appointed leaders of the "movement."