Bussard Fusion Update

The New Mexican has some interesting news about the progress on Bussard Fusion Reactor.

Last August, as Bussard was losing his battle with cancer, the funds were restored with the support of Alan Roberts, EMC2's longtime Navy contract monitor. The company now has $1.8 million to pursue his work. If it is successful verifying the 2005 results, it would seek funding for a full-scale model, big enough to make net power, Nebel said. Bussard has estimated that such a demonstration model would cost about $200 million to build.

"Unless somebody can repeat and show other people that it's operating, it's really not scientifically acceptable," Hirsch said. But "if the idea works the way he thinks it could, and there's a good chance he's right, it will not take very big machine to show net energy."

The latest device, WB-7 (the WB refers to the children's toy Wiffle Ball), is currently under construction at a machine shop in San Diego and will be shipped to Santa Fe, where a small group of scientists is setting up a testing facility in an office park off Rufina Street. The device, like previous ones, was designed by engineer Mike Skillercorn.

"These are garage-scale experiments," said Nebel, pointing to the stock tank purchased at a local feed store. "We shop at interesting places," he added, mentioning both Home Depot and the Black Hole in Los Alamos.

Although Europeans are building a huge device to demonstrate the scientific and technical feasibility of fusion power, the U.S. has spent relatively little -- about $300 million a year -- on fusion research. Much of that has been focused on a competing idea called Tokamak, a program that Bussard and Hirsch started at the Atomic Energy Commission in the 1970s, which uses deuterium and tritium as fuel. Later both determined that the concept, which produces a lot of radioactivity, was impractical from an engineering standpoint.

With his own device, Hirsch said, Bussard was "swimming upstream as far as fusion community was concerned." Still, he was able to get about $14 million in funding from the Navy for his work.

Bussard felt enormous pressure to solve the fusion problems. In a letter to an Internet forum on his 2005 results, Bussard wrote that he believed that "the survival of our high-tech civilizations depends on getting off of fossil fuels ASAP, and -- if we do not -- we will descend into a growing series of 'oil wars' and energy confrontations that can lead only to a huge cataclysm. Which CAN be circumvented if only we build the clean fusion machines in our time."

That is one of the reasons I support this research. Civilization depends on it.
Nearly a year after shutting down the lab, Bussard presented his work -- for the first time in more than a decade -- to the International Astronautical Congress. He later discussed his results with Google, the online search engine company in a talk titled, "Should Google Go Nuclear?" that is widely available on the Internet. Before his death, he also set up a nonprofit organization to solicit donations to restart the work. Information is at www.EMC2Fusion.org.

Bussard's wife, Dolly Gray, who co-founded EMC2 with him in 1985 and served as its president and CEO, has helped assemble the small team of scientists in Santa Fe. Besides Nebel, 54, the group includes Jaeyoung Park, a 37-year-old physicist who is also on leave from LANL; Mike Wray, the physicist who ran the key 2005 tests, and Wray's brother, Kevin, who is the computer guru for the operation.

"If this works, it's going to be a big deal. It could take the entire energy market," Nebel said. "And drag the oil companies into the 21st century," Gray added.

Someday, they said, if they're right, a machine just 20 times bigger than the one sitting in the corner on Parkway Drive could run the city of Santa Fe.

Park and Nebel [pdf] are the researchers who discovered the POPS effect which was corroborated in part by computer simulations done at MIT by McGuire[pdf] and Dietrich[pdf].

I estimate we will see the results of these experiments some time between March and May of the coming year. I have my fingers crossed.

The New Mexican article has a great review of Dr. Bussard's life. You should go and read the whole thing.

Cross Posted at Power and Control

posted by Simon on 12.22.07 at 03:26 PM





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Here's some good news from Japan.

http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssConsumerGoodsAndRetailNews/idUST30578720071220?sp=true

UPDATE 1-Japan auto demand seen falling 1.2% in 2008-group

TOKYO, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Japanese demand for new cars, trucks and buses will likely fall 1.2 percent in 2008, an industry group said on Thursday, vowing to make a recovery of the debilitated domestic market its top priority next year.

The Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association (JAMA) expects the market to total 5,319,400 vehicles in 2008, down for a fourth straight year and against an estimated 5,383,700 this year, when sales fell 6.2 percent.

Of that, it forecast passenger car sales to inch down 0.3 percent to 4,410,000 vehicles next year, with 660cc passenger minivehicles likely dropping 0.9 percent to 1,440,000 cars.

Car sales in Japan have been dragged down by a population shift towards big cities well served by public transportation, as well as lengthier ownership.

"We expect the domestic economy to continue its gradual expansion next year, but that won't flow into stronger personal spending for cars," Fujio Cho, chairman of the industry group and Toyota Motor Corp (7203.T: Quote, Profile, Research), told a year-end news conference.

"We will make the domestic market's expansion our number-one priority, and we aim to beat our forecasts for next year with attractive products," he said.

On the global auto market, Cho said that while the emerging regions of Brazil, Russia, India and China presented big opportunities, competition was heating up, adding that rising energy and commodity prices required continued vigilance.

Japanese carmakers had fared well in the past few years in the United States, but a combination of high gasoline prices and falling housing prices was also sparking tougher competition in the world's biggest auto market, he said.

"The competition is not just the (U.S.) Big Three. European and Korean brands are stepping up their game," Cho said. He predicted the U.S. market to stay flat around 16 million vehicles next year.

Asked about the European Commission's proposal on Wednesday to force down emissions of carbon dioxide by cars and impose steep fines on manufacturers that fail to comply, Cho said: "The levels are tough, but with the decision in place we'll just have to do our best."

JAMA expects domestic truck demand to fall 5.3 percent next year to 895,000 vehicles after a 12.5 percent slide estimated for 2007. (Reporting by Chang-Ran Kim)


"I'm pro human rights, but I'm also pro human responsibilities too!"

Andrew Dawson   ·  December 22, 2007 11:35 PM

To Devon:

"At the moment we
are trying to decide what level of vacuum pump we need for
our fusor. "

Pumping speed is a function of your fore pump and and what ever else you have in line (usually less than what a fore pump can do, but better at lower pressure). It is also a function of pipe size. The bigger the pipe, the more you can move (but the more you *have* to move because of the size of the pipe!!). It is pretty straight forward to compute what you need for fusion - you just need to figure out the number of collisions you can live with from back ground molecules/atoms. Figure out what air is made of and use that ratio of molecules in your estimates. How many molecules per unit volume can you live with?

There are really two problems there: 1) what can you live with in terms of sucking stuff out and 2) what does it take to get that much stuff sucked out. You can do both mathematically, and with simple formulas. Well, kinda simple :-)

Patience, persistence, truth,
Dr. mike

Drmike   ·  December 28, 2007 10:54 PM

Prediction:

Euro Car makers will not meet the targets and domestic mfgrs will get waivers and non-Euro car makers will get the boot.

M. Simon   ·  December 29, 2007 12:08 AM

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