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January 07, 2007
Putting facts in their proper hysterical context
Speaking of the truth, um, "issue," why is it that people so often tend to fight facts they don't like? A good example is the fact that it was in the 70s yesterday, on a January day. Only a fool or an insane person would deny that. But a lot of people take issue with what the fact of a 70 degree January day means. Is it "evidence" of "Global Warming"? Or is it, finally, "proof" even for retarded diehards like me? Actually, to some, I'm more than a retarded diehard; I'm downright evil. Because, not only do I tend to fight facts I don't like and demand proof for them, but even if (as here) they are uncontestable, I will continue to oppose any interpretation of them which gives fuel to the argument that human freedom should be limited. Hence I am skeptical about global warming/greenhouse gas theory, and skeptical about all facts which are urged in its support. To be fair, I should probably admit that even were I faced with overwhelming evidence of both global warming and an anthropogenic cause, I'd still be opposed to limiting human freedom, unless (and this is a pretty big unless) I could be convinced of some genuine, imminent catastrophe that could actually be prevented. (Unseasonably warm weather does not qualify.) Considering that the planet has been far colder and far warmer, I don't see much chance of any such catastrophe -- certainly not in my lifetime. The evolution of technology being what it is, it would be extremely arrogant of me to presume any sort of duty to "save" future generations of people who will be far better equipped to deal with whatever might happen than any of us now. What matters to me is here and now, and what I see happening is a theoretical construct being used to ready one of the greatest power grabs in history. Few of the people who succumb to Global Warming scare tactics think about the consequences of government regulation of carbon dioxide in a manner analogous to the way we treat poison. The ability to travel at all, whether by car, plane, boat, will no longer be a right. The food we eat will be suspect, because cattle are said to produce more greenhouse gas than cars, and agricultural soil is fertilized with methane-producing manure. Think you're going to open a can of beer or soda? How dare you poison the planet! Why, your very existence is poisonous, as you exhale CO2, and the more of you there are, the worse it is for the planet! Thus, old, tired arguments against "sprawl" will take on new life, as will restrictions upon virtually any human activity. I suppose I can always console myself with the notion that nowhere in the Constitution is the federal government given power to regulate these things, but since when has a technicality like that stopped them? True, at the start of Prohibition the Constitution was amended to give the government power to regulate alcohol, but in those days the document still meant something. Today, the war on drugs proceeds without any restraint, and I don't doubt that the war on carbon would too. As I say all of this, I realize that it's not the facts that I tend to hate, so much as what I fear people will do with them once the hysteria factor kicks in. Seen this way, the Drug War and the Carbon War are quite similar. Facts are subordinated to larger considerations. The people who want to regulate are generally blind to facts they don't like, and the people who don't want to be regulated are left having to contest facts which aren't seen to matter anyway. It's like me and Coco. It doesn't matter whether she bites anyone; what matters is that somewhere in Cleveland an old lady was bitten by a pit bull, and people are hysterical. I can fight the facts all I want, but that does not make the hysteria go away. Ditto for gun control. I do not deny the fact that people kill themselves (and sometimes each other) with guns (or drugs, or even an occasional pit bull unfortunate enough to get dragged into human dysfunctionality), but I deeply resent the way the facts are presented and then manipulated to the point where some know-it-all wants to tell me how I should live. This might take the form of forcing me to cut out my dog's ovaries, making me stand in line to buy cold medicine, enduring endless moral scoldings about how turf war shootouts are caused by drugs and guns themselves, and how my teeth are a health hazard because we really can't admit that the mercury hazard in fish is overblown. Normal people do not have time to dispute or contest these "facts," and many of them fail to realize they are being manipulated by hysteria. Thus, they go along with surrendering their precious freedom, one incremental step at a time. Those who resent the encroachment on freedom are considered cranks. And those who oppose hysteria are deemed "hysterical." When hysteria becomes powerful enough, laws are passed. Eventually, even disagreement with the prevailing hysteria can become risky. Already, it's a career-wrecker for scientists to express greenhouse gas skepticism, and activists have demanded Nuremberg trials for them. There's a well-oiled movement with a goal of criminalizing disagreement, and a generation of young people softened up with hate speech tribunals is poised to accept it. While I was in Spain, Jose Guardia reminded me that there is no such thing as a First Amendment, and hence under proposed new laws, any government minister can shut down any web site he deems "offensive." The more people are ruled by hysteria, the more they tend to see disagreement with prevailing hysteria as "offensive." (Fortunately, the non-hysterical among us can still recognize that preventing such tyranny is the whole idea behind our First Amendment.) In a great post last week, M. Simon recognized how the Drug War helped facilitate the corruption so obviously apparent in the Duke University "rape" case. A common thread is popular hysteria, in which feelings are more important than freedom or facts. It's more important to win the drug war or stop cultural racism than to be concerned with trifles, and if the rules (or the Constitution) have to be bent or disregarded, so be it. Aren't we forgetting that under our system, certain principles are more important than facts? That if the police lied to get a warrant, it does not matter whether drugs were found? That even if a certain student displays evidence of racism (or a dislike of homosexuals), that does not make him guilty of rape? I'd rather keep my freedom, even if it's 70 degrees outside. There. I just said it. I'm prepared to face a Nuremberg tribunal for Holocaust advocacy. In fact, I'm willing to risk being burned to death by the Holocaust gases I've helped create and encourage! UPDATE (01/08/07): Simon has an interesting post about IRS officials who must think they're government ministers in Spain. According to their position, while the First Amendment might allow Holocaust denial, tax code denial is worse than shouting fire in a crowded theater. Any explanations, I'm all ears. posted by Eric on 01.07.07 at 09:16 AM
Comments
Temperatures at or near 70 have bee recorded. Jan 13 1932 was 68 F. Hugh · January 7, 2007 02:15 PM I can't decide whether to go bash my head into the wall while feeling helpless, or buy a black gun with non-sporting attachments to raise my 'crank' status. Dustin · January 7, 2007 04:41 PM Were it twenty below instead of seventy above, it wouldn't make the slightest bit of difference to them: the climate is changing, and that's that, and it's your fault. (It's never their fault.) Boil them in oil, I say.
CGHill · January 7, 2007 09:48 PM Boil them in oil, I say. Too tough and stringy. I'd suggest a slow braising, with lots of fresh herbs and root vegetables. Darleen · January 7, 2007 11:52 PM Nice recipe, Darleen! :) (There are more slow recipes listed in the polll over on the right, too....) Eric Scheie · January 8, 2007 07:55 AM Basically, at this point, to the extent anyone ever allows debate, scientists have almost all decided that more greenhouse gasses mean higher temperature. The question is now one of scope. Some (especially those who study the sun and her impact on the Earth) think the impact of global warming may only account for 1/4 of the current warming trend, and that the temperature increase will be logarithmic as more greenhouse gasses are put out-that is, that the temperature increase will be smaller for each subsequent increase of gas. Others believe that the increase will actually be exponential (the difference has to do mainly with the effects of higher CO2 on cloud formation), and that solar radiation is actually only responsible for 1/4 of the warming. So, either the Earth will heat by one degree (F), or eleven, over the next 100 years. Either way, government regulation would be worse. Jon Thompson · January 8, 2007 11:52 AM
To be precise, the moral and intellectual equivalent of campus activists and Greenpeacers who squeal in terror at the evil conspiracy behind gene-modified foods. You just KNOW it's so evil, that the depth of its evil grows with each new person who fails to be afraid of it; the more reality and evidence opposes your conspiracy theory, why, the more ever-present and insidious and sophisticated the conspiracy must be. Your post reeks of tinfoil-hattery: you said you are so convinced global warming is an all-reaching plot to enslave mankind that you would oppose remedial action even if presented with scientific evidence proving the problem. If "BDS" afflicts the left, then "GWDS" is the paranoid fable of choice on the right. TTT · January 11, 2007 12:00 PM Oh, and, Jon Thompson? During the last ice age--a period marked by massive extinctions of land animals and depopulation of early humans in the northern hemisphere, not to mention the submerging of most land masses under 1 mile of ice and the attendant drop in sea level that wiped out a lot of ocean creatures too--the global average temperature was only 8 degrees off from what we enjoy today. Still think an abrupt 11 degree change would be less bad than Congress passing a new law? TTT · January 11, 2007 12:09 PM TTT calling me a right wing hippie is simply ad hominem rhetoric. In any case, you're putting words in my mouth. I said I would oppose restrictions on American freedom, just as I oppose drug laws. They're unconstitutional, and there's no evidence that they'd work. Beyond that, I think you're confusing speculation with science. Eric Scheie · January 11, 2007 11:51 PM Post a comment
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I wonder why Michael Crichton's book State of Fear hasn't had a larger impact? Or maybe it has, just not with the true believers.